MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Yankees Series Coverage

Willie Bee

Tuesday, April 29, 2014 12:04 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 29, 2014 12:04 PM UTC

Rain will shorten the Mariners-Yankees series to just two games, and a swap in the pitching matchups means bettors have to wait on the MLB odds to be updated.


1st May
Mariners vs. Yankees Game 3

By: Willie Bee


What was already a short baseball betting schedule this week got even shorter when four contests were postponed Wednesday due to rain. Among them was the second game in New York between the Yankees and Seattle Mariners who wrap up their abbreviated series with Thursday night's tilt.

Wednesday's contest will be made up about a month from now when the Mariners start a road trip that includes stops in Atlanta and Tampa Bay. The postponement ultimately means an extra day of rest for Felix Hernandez, who was supposed to start for the Mariners on Thursday and will instead begin Seattle's next series on this journey Friday night in Houston.

Manager Lloyd McClendon is sticking with his original Game 2 starter, Roenis Elias. New York's Joe Girardi will send Hiroki Kuroda to the hill, skipping David Phelps who is presently in the rotation for the suspended (and now injured) Michael Pineda.

The shift in pitchers has delayed betting numbers for the matchup. SBR's live MLB odds will have the lines as soon as they are released.


How Will Delay Affect Elias' Mindset?
Players are known to get excited for their first appearance at Yankee Stadium, even if it's the newer version and not the historic park that used to be across the street. We assume the same is true for Elias, who has to ramp down any emotions he had Wednesday.

The Seattle rookie has pitched pretty well overall, posting a 3.54 ERA and keeping the ball in the park with two homers allowed in his first 28 big league innings. Control has been an issue, however, with 14 free passes along the way, and that could spell trouble facing a pretty patient New York lineup.

Kuroda was lit up in his last assignment, a 13-1 beating at the hands of the Angels in the opener of last weekend's series. The righthander was charged with the first eight LA runs -- 6 earned -- and the loss was New York's second straight with Kuroda on the mound. He has split his four starts vs. the Mariners since joining the Yanks, pitching to a 2.69 ERA in nearly 27 IP and the worst assignment coming last year in Seattle (6.1 IP. 4 ER).

Umpire Info, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
We're assuming that Bill Miller will still get the nod for plate duty, especially since he's the crew chief for this group of umpires. He has called balls and strikes on this diamond four times before, all Yankee wins and all falling short of the total.

Rain remains in the Big Apple forecast through the day Thursday, but it is supposed to be gone by game time (7:05 PM ET), leaving behind cloudy skies, temps in the 60s for first pitch and a 5-10 mph westerly breeze (out to center).

Kuroda's hiccup last Friday vs. the Halos can be forgiven since he was facing the top scoring team in the American League. He has been pretty solid on this mound the past two years, and I do expect him to rebound with a nice performance. Whether that means we play the Yankees or the 'under' for our free MLB pick will have to be decided when the betting lines are released.

My pick: Lean Yankees, Under

Season: 27-28 (-1.9)


30th April
Mariners vs. Yankees Game 2

By: Willie Bee


Boos rained down on Robinson Cano Tuesday night, and a steady rain fell on the Bronx crowd in the opener of the 3-game set between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees.  In the end, it was Cano and the M's who wore smiles with a 6-3 victory.

New York will try to even things up in Game 2 behind David Phelps, the Yankees favored in the -135 to -140 range on the MLB odds board.  Roenis Elias is up next in the Seattle rotation for the 7:05 PM (ET) start that is carrying an 8.5 run total priced a bit higher to the 'over.'


Phelps Takes Rotation Slot During Pineda Suspension
We saw Roenis last weekend when the Rangers came to Seattle, the young lefty leading off that series for Lloyd McClendon's rotation.  He didn't figure into the decision, ultimately the first of two 6-5 wins for the Mariners in the series.  That's the second start vs. Texas Elias has made, both Seattle victories, his other three assignments all going into the Loss column.

Wednesday will be his first appearance at Yankee Stadium, and it will also be Phelps' first start of the month-old campaign.  The Notre Dame product spent April pitching out of Joe Girardi's bullpen, settling into that role with only one earned run allowed his last seven appearances covering 8.1 innings.

Phelps came on in relief at Fenway Park last Wednesday when Michael Pineda was ejected for having pine tar on his neck.   He has one start and one relief outing vs. the Mariners the past couple of years, helping the Yanks beat them in Seattle last June with six innings of 3-hit baseball.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Now in his 17th season working games on the major league level, Bill Miller is next in the umpire rotation for plate duty this evening in New York.  He has compiled a 3-2 O/U mark and 3-2 record for the home team so far in 2014, all three home wins as favorites and the two losses as underdogs.

He may not get a chance to augment those records with a lot of rain in the forecast for New York City today.  Temps aren't expected to climb out of the 40s and 14-18 mph winds are expected from the East-Southeast (in from center, right).

I've noticed a disturbing trend here at SBR as more and more handicappers aren't including their season records with their previews.  Perhaps it's because they're so busy counting all their winnings, and it leaves them with little time to perform such a tedious task.

Win or lose, I'll always include my record with at least one of my daily previews and plays.  Let's hope it's a winner tonight as I send my Game 2 free MLB pick out on the Bronx Bombers to level their set against the Mariners.

My Pick: Yankees -135

Season: 27-28 (-1.9)


29th April
Mariners vs. Yankees Game 1

By: Willie Bee


You could start a pretty good pick-up basketball team with the two pitchers who lead off this week's series in New York between the Yankees and Seattle Mariners. If nothing else, the low post would be taken care of.

There will be no shortage of height on the mound Tuesday when the M's and Yanks begin their 3-game set in the Bronx. New York sends 6-7 CC Sabathia to the bump for the 7:05 PM (ET) first pitch while Seattle trots out 6-10 Chris Young, and the Yankees opened as -165 favorites for the contest which can be seen on the MLB Network.

The moneyline inched up into the low-170s at some shops overnight, and SBR's live MLB odds also show some movement on the total where the tally is now 7.5 or 8 after beginning at 8.5.

Last year's seven meetings went to the visitors five times with the Yankees 4-3 overall. The Mariners won two of three in New York during a May set, the totals splitting with a push on one 7 run line. The Yanks have won the last six season series, and are 12-9 in the House That George Built since it opened in '09.


Mariners Begin 10-Game Roadie With Cross-Country Flight
Seattle (10-14, -5.9 units, 12-11-1 O/U/P) just wrapped up a 6-game homestand against the two Lone Star State squads, dropping two of three to the Astros before taking two of three from the Rangers. The Mariners used Monday's off day to fly east to New York where they begin a 10-game road trip with stops against division foes in Houston and Oakland along the way.

Tuesday will mark Robinson Cano's first game in New York since bolting for the Pacific Northwest via free agency during the winter. The second baseman has just one home run this season, but is leading the Mariners with a .301 batting average and is second on the club with 36 RBI.  Cano batted .307 his last three years at Yankee Stadium with 49 HR.

Young is making his fourth successive start after an appearance out of the bullpen. The former standout in hoops and hardball at Princeton has yet to earn a decision in his previous three assignments while the Mariners went 1-2 in those games. Tuesday will be his first start at the latest version of Yankee Stadium, having pitched at the former park twice while with the Rangers, and the first time he has faced the Yanks since 2012 during the Subway Series as a member of the Mets staff.


Yanks Begin Homestand With Series Win Vs. Angels
This is the middle series of a 9-game homestand for New York (15-10, +4.2 units, 11-14 O/U), with the Rays coming to town this weekend for a set we will also cover at SBR. The Yankees got the process off on a good note by winning two of three this past weekend vs. the Angels, and began the week with a 2.5 game lead over Baltimore in the AL East.

Sabathia got off to a rough start in 2014 by dropping two of his first three assignments and pitching to a 6.63 ERA. He has since rebounded -- yet another basketball reference -- with two consecutive wins, the most recent last Thursday against the Red Sox, his first appearance of 2014 without allowing a home run.

The beefy lefty has had tremendous success vs. the Mariners since coming to New York in 2009. The Yankees have won all but one of his 10 starts against Seattle, Sabathia owning a sparkling 2.00 ERA in 72 innings.

Rain is in the Big Apple forecast for Tuesday when scattered showers are supposed to become more prevalent after dark. The weatherman is also calling for a 15-20 mph blow from the east (in from center). The chances for precipitation don't decrease the next two days, so expect the umpires to do all they can to get this game in.

The forecast doesn't thrill me too much since an early delay could turn this contest over to the bullpens.  I'm going to take a chance on New York with a free pick on the run line.

My Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+115)

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