MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Yankees to go 'Under' 7.5

Jeff Grant

Monday, June 2, 2014 12:54 PM GMT

Felix Hernandez has been absolutely dominant when given the opportunity to pitch inside the new Yankee Stadium, which will lead directly to a low-scoring affair between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees Monday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this American League matchup in the Bronx, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

[gameodds]3/284693/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Treading Water
Seattle heads to the East Coast with a 28-28 overall record, as it has split its last 10 games—picking up a 4-0 home victory over the Detroit Tigers Sunday.

The Mariners are hoping that former Yankees star Robinson Cano can return to the lineup after missing the last four contests with a hand injury, but he’s slugging just .420 in 52 games played.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is 9-3 as road favorites of -125 to -150, with the UNDER cashing in 11 of those 12 chances.

 

Falling into a Pattern
New York has alternated wins and losses over its last six contests, as it looks to bounce back from a 7-2 home defeat to the Minnesota Twins Sunday, while going OVER the betting total of 8.5.

Closer David Robertson blew his second save of the season, but he’s still been able to lock things down in 12-of-14 opportunities.  

MLB handicappers will find that the team has dropped all three games as home underdogs of +100 to +125 during the 2014 campaign.

 

Hernandez
Mariners starting pitcher Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.57 ERA) has rattled off four wins in a row, including a 3-1 home victory over the Los Angeles Angels in his last effort—surrendering a single run and four hits over 8.2 innings of work.

The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA in six road games, with opposing hitters batting .237 against him.

In 16 career starts versus the Bronx Bombers, Hernandez has compiled an 8-5 record and 2.89 ERA, including a 4-1 mark and 1.18 ERA in six outings at this ballpark.

 

Phelps
David Phelps will make his sixth start and 15th appearance of the season for the Yankees, as he looks to bounce back from a 6-0 road defeat to the St. Louis Cardinals in his last trip to the mound.

The right-hander has received an average of 1.91 runs of support since moving to the starting rotation on May 5—the sixth-lowest mark in the Majors in that span.

In two lifetime games (one start) versus the Mariners, Phelps has tallied a 1-0 record and 1.23 ERA.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the UNDER is 15-4-2 in the last 21 meetings in this series.

MLB Pick:  Under 7.5