MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Red Sox Rubber Match Betting Odds

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, June 19, 2016 12:00 PM GMT

The Red Sox avenged their series opening defeat yesterday with a 6-2 victory over their guests, the Mariners. Let's look at the MLB odds in this rubber match and cash a ticket.

Curse those run lines. I have a few golden rules to which I rarely deviate...thus the reason they are indeed golden rules. One of them happens to be if you like a baseball team to win, then bet it to win, not cover a spread. I don't care what the MLB Odds are, I maintain that betting situational plays requires that you lay the lumber if you have to, just don't make a habit of blindly betting big favorites in your MLB Picks.

Yesterday, I broke my own rule because I was afraid Dallas Keuchel could have another lousy performance even though his stats were trending up. In case that happened I hedged and bet Houston -1 ½ runs and of course they won 5-4 over the visiting Cincinnati Reds. When they were tied in the bottom of the ninth I knew my fate, and of course would rather have had them lose outright than suck the soul right out of me and win by a run. I deserve what I got because if you don't have the cajones to bet your team flat, then don't bet them at all. We move on.

 

Seattle Mariners (36-32, -3.00 units)
The Mariners were in a four game tailspin before they salvaged the final game of a three-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays and then took the opener from the Red Sox by the score of 8-4. Yesterday that short flavor of victory was replaced by the bitter taste of defeat when Seattle's starter Adrian Sampson was chased by the majors' top rated offense in the fifth inning after allowing a total of four runs in what resulted in a 6-2 loss.

The Mariners will trot out right-hander Taijuan Walker (3-6, 3.69 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) who left his previous start on Tuesday evening due to a foot injury. Walker pitched just three plus innings and allowed four runs (three earned) before he bowed out in the 8-7 loss to Tampa Bay. The 23-year-old has repeatedly stated that the injury will not be a factor in today's start and he will pitched as planned. Walker has not faced the Red Sox in his career.


 

Boston Red Sox (38-29, +1.9 units)
The big bats of the Boston Red Sox boomed again yesterday as they rolled over the Mariners 6-2 after dropping Friday night's series opener 8-4. Boston's offense has been ferocious this season and if you are not convinced, just look at their top ranking in the four major offensive categories; 1st in runs scored (388), 1st in team batting average (.290), 1st in on base percentage (.354) and 1st in slugging percentage (.480). The club trails Baltimore in the AL East by just one game.

The Red Sox coveted free agent acquisition and bona fide ace in the rotation, David Price (7-4, 4.52 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), will get the assignment this afternoon. Price has not exactly thrived since arriving in Boston and has not even been the best of a poor lot. Knuckleballer Steven Wright holds that distinction...for now. Starting pitching has been the bane of the Red Sox existence this season and David Price was supposed to be the stopper, the stone cold mound assassin that they bought for over $200 million in the offseason. He's been serviceable but not outstanding.

 

Betting Analysis
This is an excellent spot for the Red Sox. David Price is beginning to pitch like an ace lately, Seattle has difficulties with southpaws and the Mariners starter Taijuan Walker is most likely not even close to fully recovered and has been dreadful on the road with a 1-3 record and a 5.49 ERA. As we all know the Sox torch righties in Fenway and today could be another thunderous day for the BoSox offense.

One caveat. This is not the light hitting Mariners of old. These boys can flat out mash and that cannot be overlooked. Nevertheless, Price is among the very best when on and it appears as though he is finally finding his mojo in Beantown.

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Free MLB Pick:  Red Sox -182 
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline
MLB Record: 36-18, +18.21 units