MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Indians Odds & Preview

Steven Suarez

Saturday, May 18, 2013 3:10 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 18, 2013 3:10 PM UTC

After winning in thrilling fashion last night, can the Indians keep it going with another victory today? The MLB odds are certainly in their favor.

Odds Overview 

The Indians opened up as -155 favorites at a lot of the top sportsbooks, but that number has been bet down to -145 at some sites. 

Seattle can be backed at a price of +137, or you can grab them on the +1.5 run-line at  MLB betting odds of -160. The total for this afternoon's game is at 8.5 runs. 

Seattle Mariners (Joe Saunders) 

The Mariners, sitting at 20-22 overall and 9-13 on the road, will send out Joe Saunders to the mound today. 

Saunders has had a rough go of it for his new team, posting a 3-4 record to go along with a 5.51 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through his first eight starts of the season. 

Even worse, all four of Saunders' quality starts have come at Safeco Field. Away from Seattle, he's been truly terrible, going 0-4 with a 12.54 ERA in four assignments. Batters are hitting .424 against him, with 36 hits and 26 runs scored in 18 and 2/3 innings, on the road so far. 

In terms of his past against some of Cleveland's hitters, Nick Swisher has a .208 average against him in 24 at-bats. Ryan Raburn has just one hit in 16 plate appearances, though Drew Stubbs (.364), Michael Bourn (.333), and Asdrubal Cabrera (.286) have fared better. 

In short, Saunders will need his best stuff today. The Indians are one of the MLB's hottest teams at 11-4 over their last 15, and they've won six of their last seven at home.

Let's pop over to check out Joe's picks of the day!

Cleveland Indians (Zach McAllister)

The Indians are riding high at the moment and have to feel good about their chances behind the arm of Zach McAllister.

Though he's got an even win-loss record at 3-3, he's logged an impressive 2.68 ERA as well as a 1.21 WHIP. He's allowed three or less earned runs in all seven of his starts this season.

McAllister has been excellent at home, as evident by his 3-1 record and 2.08 ERA in four outings. In those starts he's struck out 21 and walked just five, while holding opponents to a .214 batting average. That's far better than the .268 mark he's giving up on the road.

The right-hander hasn't faced off against Seattle yet this season, but in two appearances against them last year he went 0-0 with a 3.09 ERA. Kyle Seager, Franklin Gutierrez, and Dustin Ackley have had some measure of success against McAllister in very limited plate appearances against him.

In his most recent start at home, against Oakland, McAllister pitched 7 and 2/3 innings of scoreless ball. Can he put on a show in front of the home fans again today 


MLB Pick

The Indians have hit lefties better than righties this season, and when you factor in the relative splits for both of these starting pitchers, it's hard not to side with Cleveland.

Saunders' road splits are god awful and today he has to contend with a tough Indians lineup. Cleveland is ranked number one overall in slugging and is also in the top ten in runs scored, batting average, and on base percentage.

McAllister has been a model of consistency and as long as he can avoid trouble early, we really like the Indians' chances in game two of the series. That said, we'll be making a more cautious play and taking Cleveland on the -1 runline for my baseball picks instead of -1.5.

Pick: Cleveland Indians -1 (-105) at Bet 365 Sportsbook

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