MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Angels Odds & Analysis

Joe Freda

Thursday, June 20, 2013 12:14 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 20, 2013 12:14 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Angels moved to a 5-2 mark in their last seven games with Wednesday’s 1-0 win over the Seattle Mariners, cashing as minus 200 home favorites.

Thursday night’s finale has Seattle’s Felix Hernandez (8-4, 2.32 ERA) slated to face Los Angeles’ Tommy Hanson (4-2, 3.94 ERA) in a duel of right-handed hurlers. Let's look at the match-up and lines to come out with a winning baseball pick.

Angels, Frieri top Mariners

Los Angeles’ Mark Trumbo scored his club’s sole run in Wednesday’s win, advancing to home plate on a wild pitch in the sixth inning. Angels relievers Scott Downs and Ernesto Frieri held Seattle hitless over the matchup’s final two frames, with Frieri recording his 16th save.

Mariners mates Endy Chavez and Nick Franklin were held to a combined 0-for-8 night from their lineup’s top two spots. Franklin logged his club’s sole error, while starter Joe Saunders lasted eight full frames in the defeat. 

Hernandez stingy in Oakland

Hernandez notched his third win in four starts with Saturday’s 4-0 victory for Seattle over the Oakland Athletics, cashing as a 113 MLB odds road underdog. The three-time All-Star held Oakland to five hits, while tossing eight strikeouts.

Mariners catcher Henry Blanco cracked a grand slam homer in the sixth frame, while mate Michael Morse poked two doubles in a 3-for-4 night. Seattle’s Charlie Furbush and Yoervis Medina took the hill for the shutout’s final two innings, combining to allow one hit.

Hanson triumphs at home

Hanson logged a second straight victory on the same night’s card, with Los Angeles topping the New York Yankees, 6-2. The 26-year-old allowed both of New York’s runs over 6 1/3 innings, collecting as a 120 home favorite. 

Los Angeles’ Erick Aybar and Albert Pujols both went 2-for-4, uniting for four RBIs. Angels second baseman Howie Kendrick hit 3-for-3, while outfielder Josh Hamilton drilled his 13th double of the year.

Back Seattle as road ‘chalk’ 

Hernandez opened as a 115 road favorite at William Hill, while the ‘total’ was first listed at seven (UNDER minus 115). The weather forecast in Anaheim calls for a clear 70 degrees, with calm winds. 

I am backing Hernandez and Seattle as short ‘chalk’ in this spot, looking the Mariners to even this set in a tight finish. 

Hernandez held the Angels to one earned run over eight frames in April’s 3-2 home victory for Seattle. The Mariners are 5-0 in the last five starts of “King Felix” against clubs with losing records, while going 4-1 in their most recent five spots as a road favorite. 

Hanson has allowed a sizable 1.53 WHIP and .354 OBP in five home outings, with Los Angeles going 2-3 over that span. Seattle’s Michael Morse and Brendan Ryan have had a quiet series so far, but match up well against Hanson with a combined 8-for-18 career mark. 

Hernandez has allowed just one homer in his last 48 IP away from home, with Seattle logging a 5-2 mark over that stretch’s seven starts. Look for the Mariners to collect in a low-octane duel here, giving the Venezuela native back-to-back road wins against divisional foes.

MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -115 at William Hill

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