MLB Picks: Making Money on the Road Betting Baseball

Doug Upstone

Friday, May 22, 2015 12:48 AM GMT

Friday, May. 22, 2015 12:48 AM GMT

Every major league baseball team will play exactly half the games on the road each year and when you dissect the MLB odds, some teams are better at it than others.

Yet when it comes to making sports picks, how good or bad numbers are reached will often be different from team to team. As we as baseball handicappers reach the quarter pole of the season, here is look at the best squads to wager on versus the MLB odds when they are wearing the road grays.

 

Lone Star State Teams Saddle Up for the Road
Among the reasons why the Houston has been so successful this season is how well they have played away from home. The Astros are 12-5, +9.3 units and while some might say the record is inflated because they have beaten several teams below .500, I would counter Houston has helped place them there and wasn’t Houston supposed to be one of these teams?

While the younger Astros players are maturing, let’s not lose sight of the fact the same basic core of players were with Houston a year ago when they were 32-49 on the road and over the past three seasons they produced an agonizing 79-161 away mark. What has been especially impressive is they have posted this record by winning by almost two runs an outing.

The Texas Rangers have taken a page from their cross-state rival’s playbook. Though the Stros were whipped regularly in away games the last two years, against sportsbooks like GTBets, their backers were basically even, winning often enough as large underdogs.

Texas is doing much the same, sporting an 11-10 mark, yet up over +6 units. On the nine occasions the Rangers have been +150 or higher dogs, they have come away with five outright wins, mostly accounting for their money line success.

Success can be fleeting, yet at this time, you will be doing the Texas two-step with glee backing these Texas clubs.

 

Tigers on the Prowl on the MLB Road Jungle
Detroit has been hard to read from time to time this season when making MLB picks, but on the road they have been far more stable at 12-7, +5.5 units. The difference has been compared to at home, just a little more offense (4.5 vs. 4.2 RPG) and slightly better pitching (3.8 vs. 4.0) to account for the difference. On the season the Detroit Tigers are 4-1-1 in road series.

 

Dodgers Hanging With the Wrong Crowd Outside L.A.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have compiled the finest home record in baseball this season at 17-5, however, when they have left the comforts of home; it has been a completely different story. Don Mattingly’s club is 7-11 (-7.4 Units) away and at the time this article was posted, they were the worst bet in a visiting uniform. The offense has gone from prolific to pathetic, scoring 5.3 RPG at home to under four in away outings. A large part of the Dodgers problems have been the flight up the California coast to San Francisco, where they are 0-6 and just failed to score for an entire series. Ouch!

This leaves the Dodgers hanging with Philadelphia and Oakland as bad road bets. The Phillies are 6-15 (-6.9 units), which frankly is no great surprise. The Phillies have found runs hard to come by and are averaging just 3.1 per contest and are being lambasted by more than two runs a game.

Similar to the Dodgers, Oakland’s potent offense does a disappearing act on the road. In the home white’s the A’s crank out five runs a night, but when skipper Bob Melvin makes out the same lineup card with his team batting first, they dive off the cliff to 3.9. This certainly explains Oakland’s 9-14 road record that has cost supporters -5.9 units.

Always wise to know these types of trends when betting baseball.

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