We’re going to examine the opening game of the series between Pittsburgh and San Francisco on Monday. Which one of these teams will be able to bounce back from a loss on Sunday for our MLB picks? Will this be a low or high scoring game?
Pirates and Giants open Three Game Series at AT&T Park
San Francisco will host Pittsburgh on Monday at AT&T Park with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 PM ET. According to the MLB betting odds at Bookmaker, Pittsburgh is a -134 money line favorite, and the posted total is 6.5. This will be the first meeting of the season between these clubs.
Pittsburgh will send red-hot Gerrit Cole to the mound tonight. Cole has gone 7-3 in his team starts with an outstanding 2.25 ERA, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Pirates right-handed hurler has displayed superb form during his previous three starts, compiling a 1.69 ERA, and a 12.5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s made two career starts versus San Francisco, both have come since 2013, and Cole had a very good 3.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in those outings.
The Giants turn to veteran right-hander Ryan Vogelsong on Monday. Vogelsong has displayed sparkling form in his last three starts, compiling a 1.53 ERA, and the Giants went 3-0. He’s been especially good at AT&T Park this season, going 3-0 in his team starts with a 1.35 ERA, an excellent 0.65 WHIP, and just short of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. All three of those home starts went under the total. Vogelsong has gone 24-8 under the total in his career when installed as a home money line underdog of +100 or more like he’ll be this evening.
The Pirates are coming off a split of a four game series at Petco Park in San Diego. They sustained a 7-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday, and it was just their second setback in ten games. Pittsburgh has gone 13-9-4 under the total in away games this season.
The Giants were cooled off over the weekend after suffering a pair of losses at home to Atlanta. Despite those defeats, San Francisco is 13-4 in their last 17 games, and finished the month of May with a stellar 21-9 record. They’ve gone 10-5 under the total this season when facing opponents with a winning record, and 11-1 under the number at home against teams with a +0.5 or better run per game differential. The Pirates qualify in that regard with a +0.8 run per game differential, and a season to date record of 26-24.
Although both teams body of work during the past couple of weeks indicates they’re each hitting with relative regularity, the books aren’t swayed in the least, and it’s evidenced by a low posted total. I like the way both of these starting pitchers have performed not only recently, but since the beginning of the season. My lean is toward a low scoring affair for one of my MLB picks on Monday.
MLB Pick: Pittsburgh and San Francisco to go under the total of 6.5 at Bookmaker.