MLB Picks: Liriano to Sink Giants as Pirates Sweep in Series Finale

Darin Zank

Wednesday, June 3, 2015 2:53 PM GMT

Hot Pittsburgh goes for a rare sweep of the Giants in San Francisco Wednesday afternoon. Do we pick on the brooms breaking out? Or can Tim Hudson help the Giants avoid such a fate?

Pirates-Giants Wednesday Betting Lines
The MLB betting odds market opened this game with San Francisco and Tim Hudson getting around +110 as home dogs against Pittsburgh and lefty Francisco Liriano, with a total of seven runs. Those figures were holding steady in the early betting.

 

The Situation
Pittsburgh has taken the first two games of this series, winning Monday 4-3 and Tuesday 7-4. So the Pirates have won 10 of their last 12 games, while San Francisco has lost four in a row.

 

Wednesday's Starters
Hudson (3-4, 4.62) is six-for-10 on quality starts this year, but only two for his last five. Last time out he held Atlanta to one run through seven innings, but over his last five starts he's allowed 18 runs through 29 innings. San Francisco lost three of those games.

Last year Hudson started twice against Pittsburgh, giving up four ER in 15 2/3 innings; unfortunately for him, the Giants lost those two games by scores of 2-1 and 3-1.

Liriano (2-4, 3.47) is seven-for-10 on quality starts this season, and two for his last two, but Pittsburgh is only 2-8 in Liriano's starts, in part because of some poor run support, and in part because the bullpen blew a couple of leads. Last time out he held San Diego scoreless through six innings, striking out 11, and just before that he limited the Mets to one run through six innings, with a dozen whiffs.

In Liriano's last start against the Giants, last July, he gave up just one run through seven innings, with 11 strikeouts, in a 3-1 Pirates victory.

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Wednesday's Batting Splits
Pittsburgh owns a middle-of-the-road .706 team OPS against right-handed pitching this season.

San Francisco owns a .744 OPS against left-handed pitching this season.

 

Pirates-Giants Wednesday Free Picks
Liriano has been pitching in some bad luck this season; perhaps he's due for a good turn. We'll take Pittsburgh today as our MLB pick. Also, games played at AT&T Park this season are 17-11 on the UNDERS, averaging just 6.6 runs per. So we like the UNDER.

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh -120 at WagerWeb and UNDER seven runs at Pinnacle