MLB Picks: Lincecum & Giants favored to win against Padres

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, June 25, 2014 12:14 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 25, 2014 12:14 PM GMT

The San Francisco Giants have thrived under the sun this season, which will allow them to avoid a three-game home sweep against the San Diego Padres Wednesday afternoon. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League West matchup at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET.


Offensive turnaround
San Diego ranks last in the Majors in scoring just 238 runs this season, but it has managed to plate 13 runs and rack up 20 hits in winning the first two games in this series, including a 7-2 victory as +134 road underdogs Tuesday.

The Padres have captured nine of their last 15 games against the Giants, but they haven’t finished off a sweep at this ballpark since May 11-13, 2010.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is a solid 29-26 as underdogs of +100 to +125 when playing away from home.


Hard times
San Francisco has produced a MLB-worst 3-11 record since June 9—mainly due to its pitching staff putting together a 5.12 ERA over that span.

The Giants have won 19 of their 28 day games this season, which has been made possible by sitting behind just two teams with a .271 average in that situation.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 4-6 at home with a money line of -100 to -125, with the OVER going 6-4 in those 10 affairs.


Kennedy
Padres starting pitcher Ian Kennedy (5-8, 3.90 ERA) will look to end his personal two-game losing streak, but he didn’t earn a decision in a 6-5 home victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out—surrendering five runs (four earned) and seven hits over five innings of work.

The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.53 ERA in seven road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .245 against him. In nine career outings at this ballpark, Kennedy has registered a 3-2 record and 2.58 ERA.


Lincecum
Giants starting pitcher Tim Lincecum (5-5, 4.90 ERA) suffered a 4-1 road defeat to the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday, as he surrendered four runs and seven hits over six frames.

The right-hander is 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA in nine home efforts—issuing 23 walks and striking out 51 batters in 50.1 combined innings. In 27 lifetime starts versus the Padres, Lincecum has compiled a 14-6 record and 2.47 ERA, including a 6-3 mark and 2.20 ERA in 12 outings at this venue.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Giants as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve gone nine of Lincecum’s last 12 starts versus division rivals.
Pick:  San Francisco Giants

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