MLB Picks: Lester & Red Sox vs. Mariners

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 8, 2013 12:03 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 8, 2013 12:03 PM UTC

The Boston Red Sox have won four of Jon Lester’s last five starts against the Seattle Mariners, as the two teams prepare to open up a four-game series Monday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup at Safeco Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.

Still a division leader

Boston dropped its final two games against the Los Angeles Angels, but it still own a 4.5-game lead over the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East standings.

The Red Sox are 9-9 as road underdogs of +100 to +125 this season, with the UNDER going 9-8-1 in that situation.

Impressive trip

Seattle went 4-2 on its recently completed six-game road trip against the Cincinnati Reds and Texas Rangers—marking the first time the club has won back-to-back trips away from home in 2013.

The Mariners are 9-12 at home when the betting total is 7 or less, with the OVER going 10-9-2 in those 21 opportunities.


Red Sox starting pitcher Jon Lester (8-4, 4.41 ERA) has led the club to three consecutive victories, but he didn’t earn a decision in a 2-1 home win over the San Diego Padres last time out, as he allowed just a single run and six hits over seven frames. 

The left-hander is 5-4 with a 5.48 ERA in 11 road outings, surrendering 10 home runs in 65.2 combined innings. 

Lester has compiled a 4-2 record and 3.58 ERA in nine career games versus the Mariners, including a 3-1 mark and 2.41 ERA in his last five efforts in the series.


Mariners starting pitcher Felix Hernandez (8-4, 2.69 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 4-2 road win over the Texas Rangers last time out, as he allowed two runs and seven hits over seven innings of work.

The right-hander is 2-2 with a 3.08 ERA in seven home outings, with opposing hitters batting .254 against him. 

In 12 lifetime appearances versus the Red Sox, Hernandez has put together a 6-2 record and 3.18 ERA, including a 3-1 mark and 3.83 ERA in six outings at this ballpark. 



I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Monday, as the Mariners are 0-9 in Hernandez’ last nine starts versus a team with a winning record. 

MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox +100 First Five Innings at BET365

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