MLB Picks: Lay the Runs for Angels as Rockies Continue to Flop in Series Finale

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, May 13, 2015 4:59 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 13, 2015 4:59 PM UTC

It was no contest, as St. Louis buried Cleveland (8-3) for last night’s TOP PLAY Winner.  This will be even easier, as we feature an underdog price out of a perfect 100% situation that has won by a combined score of 72-25.  Want a piece of that?  Who wouldn’t?

Colorado Rockies (Lyles) vs. LA Angels (Santiago) (- 1 ½ R/+125) 10:05 ET
The Colorado Rockies and LA Angels resume their early week series at 10:05 ET tonight.  Last night, the Angels recorded a 5-2 victory to continue their series dominance of the Rockies, as well as continuing the Rockies’ ineptitude, both recently as well as on the road.   

The Rockies are a team built for power and hitting to take advantage of their spacious home park with mile-high altitude; and they're also posted as the underdogs on the MLB betting odds for tonight. Thus, it is little surprise that they have recorded a recent 2 year record of 90-72 on their home field.  Translating that success on the road has been a completely different story.  In the last 3 seasons, the Rockies are an underachieving 79-164 as traveler.  In no season have they recorded more than 29 road wins.  Last year, they reached the nadir of their discontent with a 21-60 road record, closing the season on a 7-39 slide as traveler.  That’s why it was so amazing when Colorado opened the season, winning their first 6 contests on the road at Milwaukee and San Francisco.  Since that time, however, the Rockies have returned to the road form that we have known and loved, going 1-9 of late.  They are also the owners of baseball’s biggest losing streak, having tasted defeat 10 straight times after beginning the season 11-8.  Largely responsible for that losing streak has been a pitching staff that has an 8.63 ERA during the 10-game slide.  Jordan Lyles is unlikely to be the stopper.  In his recent 2 starts, Lyles has worked 12 IP, allowing 11 runs, while putting 23 runners on base.  In 4 previous starts vs. the Angels, Lyles has a 5.82 ERA.  In short, neither he nor the Colorado bullpen is to be trusted.

The Colorado pitching staff is just what Angel hitters needed to jumpstart a sputtering offense in the early season. With last night’s 5-2 victory, the Angels have now claimed 6 consecutive series victories vs. the Rockies, averaging 7.8 RPG with a .308 BA. On the mound tonight will be Santiago, who is looking to establish himself as a consistent starter in the Angel’s rotation.  With a 2-2 record, Santiago has a solid 2.57 ERA.  He pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings in his previous start.  More impressively is his mark from this mound, where in 3 appearances, he has twirled a 1.02 ERA.

It should come as no surprise to readers that all 9 Colorado road losses have come by 2 or more runs.  In those defeats, Colorado has been outscored 72-25.  Knowing this, we can comfortably lay the runs and take the generous price with an LA Angels team, who captured 12 of their 16 victories by 2 or more runs; for our MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Take LA Angels

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