MLB Picks: Lay The Juice On The 'Over' In Padres vs. Giants

Willie Bee

Wednesday, April 27, 2016 12:01 PM GMT

One afternoon affair is on Wednesday's MLB betting card, and it takes place in San Francisco where the Giants are a win away from sweeping NL West rival San Diego.

Bruce Bochy went through six hurlers in San Francisco's 1-run victory over the San Diego Padres in Monday's series opener. Tuesday night, the Giants scored another 1-run win, and all Bochy needed was one pitcher.

Johnny Cueto was that lone San Francisco hurler last night, striking out 11 in spinning a 1-0 gem against the Padres to pull the Giants back up to .500 on the young season with an 11-11 record. Bochy's club now takes aim at sweeping San Diego out of town in a Hump Day matinee set to go off at 3:45 PM (ET).

Andrew Cashner is Andy Green's choice to halt a 4-game Padres skid and avoid the San Fran brooms, Jeff Samardzija looking to spoil those plans as the moundsman for the home side. Pinnacle was selling the Giants at -165 on the MLB odds board, adding a 7½ run total to the betting board and taxed to the high side.

Tuesday night's triumph was the Giants' sixth in a row at home over the Pads to continue one trend in the rivalry. The one-nil final stopped several other streaks, however, one of them being five consecutive 'overs' between the clubs in San Francisco.


 

Cashner Winless In 5 Tries vs. Giants
After getting banged around in his season debut, a 7-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers, Cashner has settled into good form with the Padres taking home the cheese in each of his subsequent three starts. The former TCU standout was a +120 underdog on the baseball betting board last Friday at home against the Cardinals, and responded with six strong innings with only one run allowed on a Randal Grichuk homer in a 4-1 victory.

Wednesday will be the fifth time in as many 2016 starts Cashner has been the underdog, and his sixth career assignment in San Francisco. The previous five on this mound have not gone well for the 29 year old, San Diego losing each game while Cashner built a 6.83 ERA. Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford and Buster Posey should be licking their chops preparing to face him, that trio combining for a .407 average (22-54) with four home runs.

Samardzija made his first three starts in a Giants uniform on the road, San Fran losing two of the games, but he shined last Friday in his home debut by pitching into the eighth and allowing only one run in the 8-1 decision. The former Notre Dame star has performed pretty well over his career vs. the Padres, making four starts and a couple of relief appearances. Samardzija owns a 3-1 record in those games with a 2.76 ERA.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
One of the youngest major league umpires, Clint Fagan is in just his third full season calling games at the top level and is expected to work the series finale on Wednesday. The Houston native has three plate assignments under his belt this year, two of them going 'over' the baseball odds and the other staying just 'under' the mark.

Fagan was known for having a quick thumb early on, ejecting nine players and managers in his first 90 games on an MLB diamond, but has since calmed down with only two ejections the last 150 contests. He has called two games at AT&T Park, both taking place last year and splitting the totals while the Giants won each time.

Cloudy skies aren't expected to produce any rain to threaten today's series finale, but a stiff west-northwest wind in the 20-25 mph range could give balls headed to right field a little extra giddy-up. Both teams had been on nice little 'over' runs before Game 2, and that's the direction I'm headed with my free MLB pick this afternoon.

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Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 7½ (-115) 
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker
Season: 15-10 (+6.35)