MLB Picks: Latos & Reds vs. Hudson & Braves

Jeff Grant

Thursday, July 11, 2013 12:19 PM GMT

The Atlanta Braves have won four of Tim Hudson’s last five home starts versus the Cincinnati Reds, as the two teams open up a four-game series Thursday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League matchup at Turner Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. 

Road woes

Cincinnati managed to snap a three-game losing streak by picking up a 6-2 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers as -173 MLB odds favorites Wednesday, but the club is a disappointing 21-24 overall when playing away from the Great American Ball Park.

The Reds are 5-9 as road underdogs of +100 to +125 this season, with the UNDER going 8-6 in those 14 opportunities.

Quite a percentage

Atlanta went 3-3 on its recently completed six-game road trip, which ended with a 6-2 defeat to the Miami Marlins as -131 favorites yesterday, while the OVER is on a 5-0-1 run in that span. 

The Braves are 29-13 (.690) at home this season—the highest winning percentage of any MLB team in that situation. 

Latos 

Reds starting pitcher Mat Latos (8-2, 3.18 ERA) has alternated wins and losses over his last four outings, as he comes off a 13-4 home victory over the Seattle Mariners, allowing four runs and six hits over six frames. 

The right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 road outings, issuing 17 walks and striking out 62 batters in 65 combined innings. 

In six career games versus the Braves, Latos has compiled a 3-2 record and 2.45 ERA, including a 1-0 mark and 1.38 ERA in two efforts at this ballpark. 

Hudson 

Braves starting pitcher Tim Hudson (5-7, 4.03 ERA) has led the club to two consecutive victories, with the offense supplying him 24 runs of support over that span, as he picked up a 13-4 road win over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out. 

The right-hander has tallied a perfect 3-0 record and 2.68 ERA in eight home games, with opposing hitters batting .195 against him.

In seven career outings versus the Reds, Hudson is 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA. 

 Don't forget to review my Pitching Report for today!

[gameodds]3/238540/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Braves as one of their sports picks for Thursday, as they’ve gone 26-9 in Hudson’s last 35 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -110 at bet 365