MLB Picks: Indians & Astros Will Slide 'Under' The Total In Houston

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, May 10, 2016 6:06 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 10, 2016 6:06 PM UTC

Trevor Bauer of the Cleveland Indians has had some of his best performances vs. the Astros while Chris Devenski has a bright future for Houston, so ‘under’ is the MLB pick.

MLB Record: 16-19-1, -0.33

Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros
There could be a scarcity of runs in the Lone Star State Tuesday night when Trevor Bauer and the Cleveland Indians (15-14, 7-8 away) pay a visit to young fellow right-hander Chris Devenski and the disappointing Houston Astros (13-20, 9-9 home) for the second game of a three-game series from Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX at 8:10 ET in a game available on ROOT. The posted total at BetOnline is 8½ for this contest with the current MLB odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +105.


Not World Series Contenders Yet
The Astros made great strides making the playoffs as a wild card last year after being league doormats for so long, and they were the favorites to win the American League West prior to this season as well as a chic World Series pick by some experts. Houston is not there yet though as a terrible start has the Astros in last place instead at 13-20, although they are still a very manageable 6½ games behind the first place Seattle Mariners.

The Indians were also popular picks to win their division the American League Central due to their great starting pitching, so they too may be considered a disappointment at just one game over .500 at 15-14. At least Cleveland is in second place however, although it is just about as far away from first place as the Astros with the Tribe sitting six games behind the red-hot Chicago White Sox. The Indians were the losing MLB pick to Houston 7-1 in the series opener last night.


Bauer Loves Facing Houston
Cleveland now tries to even up the series behind Bauer, who just may be the perfect man to have on the mound given this opponent. Bauer was actually beaten out by Josh Tomlin for the fifth starter job for the Indians during spring training, but he is now filling in for Carlos Carrasco in the rotation with the latter out until probably early June with a strained left hamstring.

Bauer is 2-0 with a high 5.14 ERA overall including six relief appearances, as he has allowed exactly three runs with four strikeouts and two walks in each of his two starts with neither of them being long outings, as he went four innings in his first start vs. the Phillies in Philadelphia and then 5.2 innings vs. the Detroit Tigers at home last Thursday. At least that outing was a bit longer, so maybe Bauer is now stretched out enough to go even further.

Regardless, be must be ecstatic to be facing the Astros. That is because he made three starts vs. the aggressive Houston lineup over the last two years, and he is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and an amazing 29 strikeouts in 20 innings vs. eight walks with the Astros batting .145 against him!

Two Nice Starts for Rookie
The youngster Devenski has also made two starts for Houston after beginning the year in the bullpen, and the transition appears to have been a smooth one. Devenski is 0-1 but with a 1.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP overall with a nice ratio of 22 strikeouts vs. five walks in 24.2 innings, and in his two starts he has allowed a total of three runs in 11 innings with 10 strikeouts, although he does have four walks after walking just one batter over six relief appearances.

It is ironic that Devenski was in line to get his first Major League win when he departed his last start vs. the Seattle Mariners after allowing just one run on six hits in six innings with six strikeouts vs. one walk before the bullpen blew the lead for him, given that he was a key part of that very same bullpen until his first start on April 30th. Still, he figures to keep his starting job as long as he maintains his form, and the wins should start coming.

This game marks his first ever appearance vs. the Indians, which should make Devenski tougher to hit especially his first time through the order, and he is facing a Cleveland lineup that is batting just .228 vs. right-handed pitching on the road this young season.


An ‘under’ Series
Finally, this has certainly been an ‘under’ head-to-head series as it has gone 19-5-2 in the last 26 meetings overall, and when the series opener snuck ‘over’ by one-half run last night, it snapped a 7-0-1 ‘under’ run in the previous eight meetings here in Houston.

Last night’s result would have stayed ‘under’ tonight’s posted total though as this one is set a full run higher, so look for a return to the norm and another ‘under’ when Cleveland visits Houston for the middle game of this series on Tuesday.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 8.5 +100
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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