MLB Picks: Houston Astros Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, March 29, 2016 7:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 29, 2016 7:21 PM UTC

The 2016 MLB season has arrived as it begins Sunday, so the LT Profits Group continue to provide profiles for every team to help with your MLB picks. Next is the Houston Astros.

We are on the cusp of the beginning of the 2016 MLB season, as opening day is this Sunday with three games scheduled, followed by the rest of the league starting play this Monday. So we continue our team profiles all week long in an attempt to help with your MLB picks, continuing today with the Houston Astros, who finished in second place in the American League West in 2015 at 86-76 and won the Wild Card Playoff before losing to Kansas City in the ALDS.

For starters, here is a summary of the Houston betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle Sports.


Houston Astros 2015 Betting Stats

   Home  Away  Overall
Record  53-28  33-48  86-76
Units Won/Lost   +14.91  -17.69  -2.78
Over/Under  36-41-4   37-39-5   73-80-9 

The Astros used their high draft picks wisely during the time that they were league doormats and they also traded wisely, and that finally paid off last season with a return to the playoffs as a wild card. Granted they did not hold on to the American League West Division lead that they had for much of the season, but this is still a talented young team heading in the right direction. Next up, here is a look at the Astros’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.


2015 Houston Astros Team Statistics

   Total   Rank
Batting Average   .250  21st
Runs per Game  4.50  6th
Home Runs  230  2nd
OPS  .752  2nd
ERA  3.57  6th
WHIP  1.20  5th
Bullpen ERA  3.27  6th

The Astros score high on the excitement scale offensively, as this youthful club strikes out a ton and does not hit for a very high average, but it still scores a lot of run by blasting a lot of home runs, ranking second in the majors last year in both homers and OPS, and it also has speed ranking third in stolen bases. And do not forget about the great young starting rotation led by Cy Young Award winner Dallas Keuchel. And now we turn our attention to various Houston Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.


2016 Houston Astros World Series Futures

5Dimes  +1500 
Bovada  +1600 
BetOnline   +1400 
Heritage  +1500 

The Astros will not sneak up on anyone this year as they are rather decided favorites to win the AL West title, and their Streamer projected win total of 89.25 is nearly four wins higher than any other team in the division, perhaps a reflection of improving the bullpen this off-season by acquiring closer Ken Giles.


2016 Houston Astros Batting Forecast
The starting lineup for the Astros this year will not look any different from last year, which seems like a pretty good thing with the extra benefit of another year of experience. A superstar in the making in shortstop Carlos Correa has the highest projected WAR according to the ZiPS projections at a very nice 4.9 despite being just 21 years of age, and Jose Altuve also forecasts for better than a 4.0 WAR at 4.2.

The lineup also has good depth with Carlos Gomez predicted for a 3.4 WAR and George Springer at 2.9, and although he will start the season in Triple-A, do not be surprised if Houston calls up first baseman A.J. Reed early enough for him to potentially get some Rookie of the Year consideration.


2016 Houston Astros Pitching Forecast
There are no worries with the starting rotation as the Cy Young winner Keuchel and excellent second starter Collin McHugh are back, Lance McCullers is ready to be stretched out more after the Astros carefully monitored his innings as a rookie last year, and they even added veteran depth with the very cheap signing of Doug Fister.

But the biggest move by Houston this off-season was landing the bona fide closer that they lacked in Giles, which was something they could have used in the ALDS vs. the eventual World Champion Royals. Yes, Luke Gregorson did a fine job as the closer last season, but now he can go back to the role he excels in, which is being one of the best set-up men in the league.

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