MLB Picks: Home Team Has Edge in Yankees vs. Twins

Jeff Grant

Friday, July 4, 2014 12:18 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 4, 2014 12:18 PM UTC

Kyle Gibson is far from a household name in Major League Baseball, but his performances on the mound at Target Field provide the Minnesota Twins an edge over the New York Yankees Friday. Let’s take a closer look at the pro baseball odds for this American League matchup, with the first pitch scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Stopped the bleeding—momentarily
New York snapped a season-high five-game losing streak by capturing a 7-4 win over Minnesota as -148 road favorites Thursday, while going OVER the betting total of 7.

The Yankees have now captured 12 of 15 regular season games against the Twins at this ballpark since it opened in 2010.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 4-1 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 during the 2014 campaign, with the UNDER cashing in four of those five opportunities.

Taking on the East
Minnesota has dropped eight of its last 10 affairs due to its pitching staff allowing 51 runs over that span, while its mired in a six-game losing streak against New York at this venue—surrendering 44 runs in that period of time.

The Twins are a respectable 12-10 versus AL East opponents this season, which includes splitting four overall meetings with the Bronx Bombers.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 17-22 at home with a money line of -100 to -125.

Yankees starting pitcher Chase Whitley (3-2, 4.70 ERA) has dropped back-to-back efforts against the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, as he’s allowed 13 runs and 19 hits over 7.1 combined innings in those efforts.

The right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA in six road starts this season, with opposing hitters batting .289 against him (.321 at home).

Whitley didn’t factor into the decision of a 7-2 setback at home to the Twins on June 1—giving up just a single run and five hits over five frames.

Twins starting pitcher Kyle Gibson (7-6, 3.77 ERA) tallied a 3-2 road victory over the Texas Rangers last time out, as he surrendered two runs and eight hits over eight innings of work.

The right-hander is a remarkable 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA in six home outings, as he’s yet to serve up a home run in 41 combined frames.

In two lifetime appearances versus the Yankees, Gibson is 1-1 with a 8.71 ERA.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Twins as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve won five of their last six games versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or greater.
Pick:  Minnesota Twins

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