MLB Picks: Home Team Favored in the Phillies vs. Brewers Game

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, July 9, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 9, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

The Philadelphia Phillies have won two in a row against the Milwaukee Brewers, but they’ll land back in the loss column Wednesday night due to their inability to finish off four-game series the last couple seasons. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League matchup at Miller Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

A potential turnaround?
Philadelphia is aiming to win a four-game series for just the fourth time in its last 20 tries, as it has compiled a 3-7-9 record in its previous 19 sets of that kind, while it has posted a 31-46 overall mark in those affairs.

The Phillies will need first baseman Ryan Howard to break out of a 4-for-40 slump in his last 12 contests, but he’s 11 for 25 with two home runs in his career against tonight’s opposing starter.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 1-4 as road underdogs of +175 to +200 this season, with the UNDER going 3-2 in those five opportunities.

Missing Braun
Milwaukee has dropped six of its last seven games, including a 9-7 setback to Philadelphia as -177 home favorites Tuesday—hitting .183 and scoring just 16 total runs over that period of time.

The Brewers have played two of their last three affairs without the services of outfielder Ryan Braun, who has been dealing with back issues, but he’ll likely land back in the lineup due to his .455 average and four home runs in his last 12 home games in this rivalry.

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the franchise is 43-41 versus teams with a losing record in the second half of a season.

Phillies starting pitcher Roberto Hernandez (3-8, 4.48 ERA) will try to put an end to his personal three-game losing streak, which includes an 8-2 road defeat to the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out, as he allowed five runs and 10 hits over 5.2 innings of work.

The right-hander is 2-3 with a 6.63 ERA in eight road appearances (seven starts), with opposing hitters batting .329 against him (.206 at home).

Hernandez has compiled a 4.50 ERA in two career outings (one start) against the Brewers.

Brewers starting pitcher Kyle Lohse (9-3, 3.18 ERA) was handed a 4-2 setback on the road to the Cincinnati Reds on the Fourth of July—surrendering four runs (three earned) and seven hits over five frames.

The right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA in seven home starts, as he’s issued just four walks and struck out 39 batters in 51.1 combined innings.

In 14 lifetime efforts versus the Phillies, Lohse has registered a 5-4 record and 3.12 ERA.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Brewers as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve won 56 of their last 70 games as home favorites of -150 to -200.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

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