MLB Picks: Home Run Derby Value Long Shots

Joe Freda

Monday, July 15, 2013 12:26 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 15, 2013 12:26 PM UTC

The All-Star Break can be one of the year’s slowest spans for sports betting, but that does not have to stop you from looking for great value picks this week.

Don't forget to checkout our Home Run Derby Betting Odds Report!

Monday’s Home Run Derby at Citi Field has its share of favorites and long shots, with MLB odds available on all eight participants. Who should you add your MLB picks? Let's review.

Baltimore’s Chris Davis leads off as the contest’s present ‘chalk’ at 2/1, while Oakland’s Yoenis Cespedes follows at a price of plus 275.

Davis presently leads MLB with 37 homers, while coming in hot after drilling a long ball in each of his last four games. Cespedes has not gone deep in July yet, but had his moments in June with a pair of homers in three different duels.

Pittsburgh’s Pedro Alvarez is listed as the National League’s top choice at 3/1, while Washington Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper comes in at a price of 7/2. Alvarez has notched 24 homers, with just one of his last five hit on the road. Harper has hit just 13 long balls, but missed half of the season’s first three months with a knee injury.

American League sluggers Prince Fielder (15/4) and Robinson Cano (9/2) lead off the second half of competitors, with both cooling off in the past couple of months. The duo started off with seven homers each in April, but has united to hit just 14 of them over their last combined 302 at-bat’s.

New York Mets third baseman David Wright is listed at a price of 8/1, while Colorado’s Michael Cuddyer rounds out the field at dark horse odds of 15/1.

Wright’s backers may be hoping for a home advantage here, but just three of the seven-time All-Star’s 13 homers have been cracked at Citi Field. Cuddyer homered in Sunday’s 3-1 road win for the Rockies over the Los Angeles Dodgers, ending a drought of eight games without a long ball.

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Long Shot Picks: Cano and Cuddyer

The Home Run Derby has a scheduled start time of 8 p.m. (ET), with ESPN providing the national television coverage. Citi Field’s weather forecast calls for an 85 degree night, with calm winds and 55 percent humidity.

I am backing Robinson Cano and Michael Cuddyer as long shots in the contest, starting off this week’s sports picks with tickets on each.

Cano should have some juices flowing with the event staged in New York, while homering twice in Citi Field against the Mets last year. The Dominican Republic native has built up a .723 SLG within the month of July, cracking five homers over his last 15 games.

Cuddyer comes in under the radar here, bringing a high price for a very capable bat. The 34-year-old had his 27-game hitting streak come to a close just two weeks ago, while poking nearly half of his 16 homers in road parks this year.

MLB Picks: Cano (7/1) and Cuddyer (15/1) at Bet365

Looking for more baseball picks? Read our 2013 MLB All Star Game Preview!

Which teams will come out on top after the All Star Break? Check out SportsbookReview's MLB Betting Futures!

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