MLB Picks: Home Run Derby Betting Odds

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 15, 2013 12:02 PM GMT

The 2013 Home Run Derby is set for Monday, July 15 at Citi Field in New York, with the event scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.


Odds to win

Chris Davis (15/4)

The Baltimore Orioles first baseman leads the majors with 37 home runs, which has caused the oddsmakers to overvalue him in the market, as the betting public will find him a worthwhile option at the window. 

Prince Fielder (15/4)

The two-time champion is certainly built for this event, and the fact that he’s hit only 16 home runs during the regular season has provided him a bit of value in being the co-favorite to walk away victorious.

It’s important to point out that Fielder has hit just one home run in 36 career at-bats at Citi Field.

Pedro Alvarez (9/2)

In my opinion, the betting odds tell a story here, as the Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman  isn’t well known outside of the Steel City.

Alvarez managed to hit 30 home runs a season ago, but he’s well on his way to shattering that number with 24 round trippers heading into the Midsummer Classic.

Bryce Harper (11/2)

The 20-year-old missed 31 games with bursitis in his left knee, as he’s set to become the second-youngest player to participate in the event.  

I’m not sure he’ll have the stamina to win this event due to the recent setback, considering that the last three home runs totals to win this event have been 28, 32 and 32.

Robinson Cano (11/2)

The 2011 champion has managed to leave the yard 21 times this season despite the New York Yankees having a depleted lineup, which certainly makes him a player in this field, especially with this event taking place in the Big Apple.

Cano will be motivated to win this year’s event, as he was the only participant held without a home run a year ago.

Yoenis Cespedes (11/2)

The Cuban is a real wild card in this field, but he’s hit just 38 career home runs in 791 MLB at-bats, which is a surprisingly low rate for someone that has the type of power he possesses.  

David Wright (9/1)

Wright will have plenty of fan support participating in this contest in his home ballpark, which has likely caused this number to be lower than it should be, but the New York Mets third baseman did finish second in this event in 2006 at PNC Park.

Michael Cuddyer (10/1)

The Colorado Rockies outfielder has hit just six home runs away from the Mile High City this season, which is one of the main reasons why he’s listed as the long shot in the market—another one being that he’s not a household name.

Longest home run in Round 1

Alvarez (7/2) is the co-favorite with Fielder (7/2) in this category—once again demonstrating the respect that sports bettors need to be wary of his chances in winning it all.

Cespedes (4/1), Davis (5/1), Wright (11/2), Harper (13/2), Cano (13/2) and Cuddyer (9/1)

Total home runs hit by the winner 

The number has been established at 28 (Over -125) for this proposition wager, which isn’t very surprising due the winner hitting at least that many in the event the last three years.

With weather forecasts suggesting nighttime temperatures in the mid-80s, I'm expecting the baseball to carry more than it normally would at this venue.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

Don't forget to check out my All-Star Game picks~