MLB Picks: Harvey & the Mets vs. Stults & the Padres

Joe Catalano

Sunday, August 18, 2013 2:19 PM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 18, 2013 2:19 PM GMT

First pitch is set for 4:05 pm ET at Petco Park in San Diego, California. This game can be seen on the SNY Channel and MLB TV in towns where the game isn’t blacked out. Let's Look at the Betting Odds!

The New York Mets were thinking about holding Matt Harvey back for tomorrow’s make-up game against the Twins, but have decided otherwise. Therefore, today is Matt Harvey Day, as the New York Mets (56-65) face the San Diego Padres (55-68).

According to Bet 365 Sportsbook, the Mets are a -129 betting favorite and the total for the game is a mere 6 runs.

Matt Harvey Day

Any game that Matt Harvey (9-4, 2.23) pitches in is Matt Harvey Day because he is the future of baseball.

The baseball odds along with the betting total actually adjust because this superstar is pitching. If Harvey pitches, the odds fall in the Mets favor and the total is lowered greatly as the 6 runs in this game tell’s you.

Harvey is coming off of his most disappointing start of the season as he allowed 4 runs and 8 hits in 6 innings to the red hot Dodgers.

At this point, nobody can beat the Los Angeles Dodgers, but it was quite surprising to see Matt Harvey get rocked in this manner. Harvey can either go two ways after that game. I expect him to pick up the pieces against a much weaker ball club in San Diego.

The Padres start Eric Stults (8-10, 3.68) and for the most part on a lousy team, Stults has provided some quality innings for the Pads.  Stults is coming off of a poor outing against Colorado in which he allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in 4 2/3 innings. Luckily for Stults, he got off of the hook as the Padres offense was out in full force and Stults received a no-decision.

San Diego isn’t a team laced with superstars. Chase Headley is having an awful season after a career season last year. The Padres look for different players to step up each game whether it be Jedd Gyorko, Will Venable, or Nick Hundley.

Last night, the hero was the leadoff man, Venable, as he was 4 for 5 with 3 runs scored.  Basically, the Padres are an unpredictable baseball team and that’s why they reside in the basement of the National League West Division.

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Power Game

New York didn’t show much offense last night, but without captain David Wright, they’ve been looking towards the power game for their victories. When it comes to power-hitting, Ike Davis and Marlon Byrd are the top dogs.

Davis is doing just what he did last season. He had an awful 1st half of the season and then has stepped up his game in the 2nd half, coming up with big hits. That said, this season, it took a stint in the minor league for Davis to get his act together.  The numbers aren’t there in limited at-bats, but Ike Davis can change the game with one swing of the bat.

Marlon Byrd has been a consistent figure all season long. At 19 HR, 66 RBI, and a .284 BA, the Mets will gladly take that production from the veteran because it wasn’t expected. Byrd and Davis compliment a solid leadoff hitter in Eric Young. If Young gets on base, it sets the tone for the rest of the team.

Eric Young

After a brief slump, Young has started to get back on track again. This is a leadoff man with 26 SB and if he can help scratch out a run or two, Matt Harvey will take care of the rest. Young is coming off of a huge game in which he was 2 for 4 with 2 runs scored and 2 SB. Look for Young to play well today as he’s a very streaky player.

[gameodds]3/241585/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Outcome

Matt Harvey is a battler and I expect him to bounce back from a poor performance in Los Angeles. It will be up to the Mets offense to provide a few runs for Harvey and they’re definitely capable of doing so. The price is right also as Harvey and the Mets are a slight favorite and not much juice needs to be layed.

Free Pick- New York Mets -129 at Bet 365

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