MLB Picks: Harvey & Mets to Top Cubs & Avoid Sweep

David Lawrence

Wednesday, May 13, 2015 12:31 PM GMT

New York Mets have lost ground this week at Wrigley Field. Entering tonight's game against the Cubs, they’ll be looking for a spark. This MLB betting showdown will be one of better pitching matchups.

The New York Mets Can Win Because…
They have a strong starting pitcher on the mound. Former All-Star Matt Harvey, whose 2014 season was plagued by injuries, is back in form and doing the kind of job the Mets were hoping he’d perform this season. Harvey has a solid 2.72 ERA, showing that he belongs on a young starting rotation that could become one of the elite groups of pitchers in the National League before very long. Harvey has not pitched against the Cubs this season, but his results speak for themselves. In his most recent start, he gave up three runs in six innings in a quality effort against Philadelphia. That performance, though, pales in comparison to his previous game against Washington on May 1, when he pitched seven shutout innings and issued only one walk.  Harvey has given up more than six hits in only one start this season. He has never allowed more than two walks in any games, so it’s clear that he forces opposing hitters to put the ball in play. With the Mets having lost on Monday night and having struggled on Tuesday, they will want Harvey to set the pace for them. Harvey is more than capable of shouldering the load. He’s a top-level talent in the big leagues.

One other thing to look at is that the Mets, thanks to their bullpen, entered Tuesday night having given up under 100 runs. The Mets have the better bullpen between these teams. Chicago’s pen has been very inconsistent this year. New York’s bullpen is why the Mets have a positive run differential over 20, a marked contrast to the Cubs’ negative overall run differential. New York has clearly been the better team this season.

 

The Chicago Cubs Can Win Because…
Their starting pitcher has definitely improved over the course of his last three starts, to the point that he should be viewed as a different pitcher from the one that started the season. It’s clear to see with Hammel that he’s coming on strong and settling into form, as many pitchers do after carrying rust into April and trying to pace themselves when the weather is really cold. Hammel struggled in his first three games, giving up a total of 10 runs in those three starts. He never pitched more than 6 1/3 innings in any of those starts. In his last three starts, though, Hammel has given up a total of just five runs, and he’s pitched more innings, going eight in one start and seven in another. He’s appeared to have turned the corner, and that should give the Cubs a great chance to win this game against Harvey.

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Outlook
Both pitchers are really good and should only get better as the season continues. Harvey, though, has been a little more consistent. On top of that, I don’t expect the Mets to get swept in this series, so take them with your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Mets -113 at at GT Bets