MLB Picks: Greinke & Dodgers vs. Brewers

Joe Freda

Tuesday, May 21, 2013 12:30 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 21, 2013 12:30 PM UTC

Tuesday night’s duel between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers has a pair of right-handed starters slated, following a tight affair in Monday’s opener.

Los Angeles’ Zack Greinke (2-0, 1.62 ERA) squares off with Milwaukee’s Hiram Burgos (1-2, 6.58 ERA), while both clubs enter with a 1-3 mark in their last four games.

Check out our Tuesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.


Dodgers hold on at Miller Park

Monday’s MLB betting saw Los Angeles log a 3-1 victory over the Brewers, cashing as a 113 road favorite for my followers. Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw stood in for all nine innings, holding Milwaukee’s lineup to three hits. 

Dodgers sluggers Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier both cracked homers, while Ethier added a triple. Milwaukee’s Ryan Braun had his side’s hottest bat with a 2-for-4 night, with leadoff man Norichika Aoki driving the Brewers’ sole run. 

Greinke stingy in return 

Greinke made his way back to the hill in Wednesday’s 3-1 win for Los Angeles as 142 home ‘chalk’ against the Washington Nationals. The 10th-year veteran returned after a month’s absence due to a collarbone injury, allowing five hits over 5 1/3 innings. 

Los Angeles’ Adrian Gonzalez notched a 2-for-3 night, driving in one run. Kemp and Ethier united to hit 4-for-6, while closer Brandon League anchored five relievers for his ninth save of the year. 

Burgos outgunned in Pittsburgh 

Burgos picked up a second straight loss with Thursday’s 7-1 defeat for Milwaukee to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Puerto Rico native gave up three runs on eight hits, failing to cash as a 132 road dog in a five-inning stint. 

Brewers catcher Jonathan Lucroy notched an RBI from the cleanup spot, uniting with shortstop Jan Segura to bat 3-for-7. Milwaukee’s Alfredo Figaro surrendered Pittsburgh’s remaining four runs in just 1/3 of a frame, while the Brewers were edged in hits, 13-6.

For a play on the first five innings, take a look at Jeff Grants 'MLB Picks: Bet Dodgers -138 vs. Brewers'.

Back the UNDER on Tuesday 

The MLB betting odds first opened Greinke as a 128 road favorite, with the betting lines lifting to 139 after early betting on the Dodgers. The ‘total’ was first set at eight, followed by a spike upward to 8 ½ with initial wagers favoring the OVER. 

I am adding a ticket on the UNDER to Tuesday’s sports picks, looking for another close contest between these foes. 

Burgos should value returning home after struggling in two straight road starts. The 25-year-old has held visiting foes to a stingy .222 OBP over his pair of outings at Miller Park. 

Greinke has been solid in his three starts of the year, giving up just one homer in 16 2/3 IP. The UNDER has cashed at 3-0 in the trio of affairs, with lineups held to a 0.78 WHIP.

Monday’s opener brought the UNDER to 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Milwaukee between these rivals, while moving to 3-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last five road games against a right-handed starter. The Dodgers have been held to a .230 BA facing right-handed pitching away from home, while putting up 2.6 RPG over their last seven contests. 

Back the UNDER with your MLB picks, adding another cashed ticket to the wager’s 4-0 mark in the Brewers’ last four spots against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15. 

Pick:  UNDER 8 ½ at Bet365
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