MLB Picks: Greinke & Dodgers -150 vs. Twins

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, April 29, 2014 1:17 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 29, 2014 1:17 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this interleague matchup between the LA Dodgers and the Minnesota Twins, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Zack Greinke hasn’t enjoyed any success against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field over the course of his career, but the Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher is a different player this time around. 

 
Disappointing homestand
Los Angeles went 4-6 on its 10-game homestand that ended with a 6-1 defeat to the Colorado Rockies as -148 favorites Sunday, while pushing up against the betting total of 7.

The Dodgers are 3-6 all-time against the Twins, which includes dropping two of three in their only visit to this venue from June 27-29.  It’s important to point out that the club is 19-18 versus American League opponents since 2012. 

MLB handicappers will find that the team is 6-5 as road favorites of -150 to -175 the last two-plus seasons, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (5-5 Over/Under).


Serving it up
Minnesota ranks 29th in the league with its pitching staff’s 5.00 ERA this season—just ahead of the last place Arizona Diamondbacks (5.27) in that statistical category.

The Twins have won four of their last six affairs, but that record could be better if not for allowing 34 runs over that span. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 16-34 as home underdogs of +125 to +150, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (24-24 Over/Under).


Greinke
Dodgers starting pitcher Zack Greinke (4-0, 2.45 ERA) has led the club to wins in four of his five outings this season, including a 5-2 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out—surrendering two runs and five hits over seven frames. 

The right-hander has compiled a dominating 11-1 record and 1.76 ERA in his last 16 appearances dating back to Aug. 5 of last season.

In 18 career efforts versus the Twins, Greinke has gone 4-8 with a 4.73 ERA, including a 0-3 mark and 5.63 ERA in five appearances at this ballpark.


Gibson
Twins starting pitcher Kyle Gibson (3-1, 3.63 ERA) posted a 0.93 ERA in his first three trips to the mound, but he was tagged for seven runs and 10 hits over three-plus innings  in a 7-3 road defeat to the Tampa Bay Rays last week. 

The right-hander is 2-0 with a 0.63 ERA in two home starts this season, with opposing hitters batting just .180 against him with no home runs. 

Gibson will be making just his second career interleague start and first against the Blue Crew.

[gameodds]3/262992/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Dodgers as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve won 13 of their last 18 games following an off day. 

Free MLB Pick:  Los Angeles Dodgers -150
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