MLB Picks: Gonzalez & Nationals Have Pitching Edge Over Mets

Monday, May 23, 2016 5:00 PM GMT

The NY Mets travel to Washington after their weekend whipping of the Milwaukee Brewers to take on the Division leading Washington Nationals and we review the MLB Odds for the game. 

Despite the 3-game winning streak for the Mets, they continue to trail the Nationals by 1½ games for the NL East lead. The knee-jerk reaction might be in favor of the trailing underdog, but a closer inspection of the pitching matchup clearly indicates a play on the home chalk.

The Mets have a .731 OPS batting number, just slightly better than the .728 OPS batting for Washington. And though the Mets have the best bullpen numbers in MLB at .580 OPS, Washington is No. 5 at .626 OPS. Our huge edge comes in the starting pitching today


Bartolo Colon
43-year old, Bartolo Colon, takes the mound for the Mets. The gray-beard of the young Mets’ staff has actually clouted a homerun this season. But as the years begin to wear on the overweight, aging veteran, chinks in the armor begin to show. For the year, Colon is 3-3 with a 3.75 ERA. Much of his success in recent seasons came with his outstanding control. Without that control, he becomes imminently vulnerable.

In his previous outing, he worked just 4 2/3 IP allowing 3 runs in large part because of the fact he issued 5 walks. That is a definite “sell” signal which we are eager to follow. 

 

Gio Gonzalez
His opposing mound opponent is Gio Gonzalez. This emerging ace has a record of 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA this season. In fact, he has allowed 1 or less earned run in 6 of 8 starts. In much the opposite way of Colon, a key to his success has been a lowered base-on-ball rate. Gonzalez is also known for limiting the long ball. In 31 starts from this mound, Gonzalez has allowed only 5 homeruns.

Gonzalez saves his best work for division rivals. Such is true of his outings vs. the Mets. In 18 starts, Gonzalez is 10-4 against the Mets, including 4-0 in his last 6 starts, over which time he has a 0.97 ERA. This includes his start last Wednesday against the Mets, a 7-1 victory, in which the lefthander pitched outstanding ball for 6 1/3 innings.

I invite you to put the MLB Odds in your favor and join me in my MLB Pick on the Washington Nationals tonight.

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Free MLB Pick: Nationals -145
Best Line Offered:  at Bookmaker