MLB Picks: Giants vs. Reds Game 2

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, June 4, 2014 11:50 AM GMT

The Reds look to continue their winning streak after they thumped the league leading Giants last night but where is the value in our MLB odds for tonight's middle game of a three-game set?

Swinger's 2014 MLB Record (14-14-1, -1.6 units)
As many of you know I normally write the MLB on Sunday but I have been tasked with writing on this National League tilt tonight between the Cincinnati Reds and the San Francisco Giants. But the way we're going recently (8-2 over our last 10 and two 5-unit maximum plays in a row), it doesn't matter what day of the week we're selecting our MLB picks - we are sure to cash. 

And so it was last Sunday that we flamed with a three unit play on the underdog Cubs (+130 in MLB odds) but scored big time when the Red Sox cruised to a 4-0 victory over the Rays and we cashed five max play units on the money line and four units on the run line (+130). Let's do it all over again tonight.

[gameodds]3/287238/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

San Francisco Giants (37-21, +16.5 units)
The league leading Giants looked like they needed a lesson in fundamentals last night as their four errors led to an 8-3 loss and an ominous start to the beginning of a three-game set with the suddenly surging Reds.  San Francisco has now dropped two of three after reeling off eight wins in nine tries.

The Giants will hand the ball to the enigmatic Ryan Vogelsong who has yielded only one run or less in six of his starts registering a 0.68 ERA. However, in his five other starts he has a hellacious ERA of 8.34. Things were going Vogelsong's way recently as he pitched over 13 innings of scoreless ball until he was touched for four runs on seven hits Thursday night yet the Giants still managed a 6-5 win over the Cardinals but their mercurial right-hander did not get the W. 

 

Cincinnati Reds (27-29, - 0.4 units)
The Cincinnati Reds offense had been anemic to say the least as they were (and still are) without the power lefty Joey Votto and also had big bopper Jay Bruce do a two-week stint on the shelf. Missing those two bats out of anyone's lineup will put a dent in offensive production to be sure but Jay Bruce is back and he knocked in two RBI's last night to lead the Reds to an 8-3 victory over the Giants last night. That was the most runs they have plated since they won by the identical score on May 1st over Milwaukee. 

Twenty-four-year-old Tony Cingrani takes the hill for the home team tonight and his status as a starter is tenuous as Mat Latos is slated to make his return which may grease the skids for Cingrani's demotion to the bullpen. Cingrani has not been what you might call an innings eater for the Reds. He has gone deeper than six innings in only two of his nine starts and has recently been whacked around since his return from the DL. He has lost all three of those outings and has recorded a woeful 5.29 ERA to boot. If he wants to hang around the starting rotation he will have to prove his worth tonight and that won't be easy against a club like the Giants.

 

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Though Tony Cingrani will give anyone cause for pause if they are so inclined to bet the Reds, in fairness he was 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA against San Francisco last season. But whaddya kiddin' me - that's ancient history now! Cingrani is having a tough time finding the plate and the Giants are looking for redemption after a sloppy effort last night.

Tonight the Giants have a more experienced pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong but before we make a case for him, let's understand that he has been the major league's version of Cybil this season and we're really not sure what we're going to get.

Let's tread lightly in our MLB picks tonight as we will side with the better team and the more experienced hurler.

MLB Pick: San Francisco +105 for 1 unit at Bet365.com