MLB Picks: Giants vs. Dodgers Series Coverage

Darin Zank

Friday, April 4, 2014 11:50 AM GMT

Friday, Apr. 4, 2014 11:50 AM GMT

San Francisco has taken the first two games of this rivalry series, after winning Saturday 7-2. The Giants got a quality start from Madison Bumgarner and homers from Michael Morse, Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey, winning as -120 favorites on the betting line.
6th April
Giants vs. Dodgers Game 3

By: Ron Patrick

 

Frisco has now played three OVERS in a row, scoring 23 runs in the process.
The Giants have also won five games in a row at Dodger Stadium.
So San Francisco shoots for the sweep of this series when the teams meet for Game 3 Sunday night (8 pm ET, ESPN2).

 
Sunday's Line
As of early Sunday morning most books were chalking LA and Zack Greinke at around -150 over San Francisco and Matt Cain, with a total of 6.5 runs.
The Dodgers could also be gotten at around +155 on the run line.

Take a look at live MLB World Series Betting Odds

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up
Greinke will be making his second start of this season, after giving up two runs and two hits through five innings of a 3-2 Dodgers victory over San Diego Tuesday. 

Greinke started once against San Francisco last year, allowing just one run and four hits in six innings of a 3-2 Dodgers victory in September.

Cain will be making his second start of this season, after allowing two ER and seven hits through five innings of a 5-4 Giants loss to Arizona Tuesday.

Cain started five times last year against LA; four of those outings went well, while one did not. On the whole Cain threw 29 2/3 innings against the Dodgers last year, allowing 12 ER and 28 hits. San Francisco only won one of those games, thanks mainly to some poor run support.


Injury Update
LA's Yasiel Puig, who's already off to a, shall we say, interesting start to this season, jammed a thumb sliding into a bag Saturday night, and his status for Sunday is uncertain.

 
Sunday's Free Pick
We give Greinke the edge in the pitching match-up, but the Giants are hitting the ball pretty good right now, while LA, not so much. So we'll take San Francisco and the underdog price, +142 at 5Dimes, for our free pick on Sunday's game.

[gameodds]3/261153/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

 

5th April
Giants vs. Dodgers Game 2

By: Ron Patrick

 

Dodger Yasiel Puig arrived late for the game and was scratched from the lineup, replaced by Matt Kemp in his first action of the year. Kemp promptly committed a couple of snafus in center field, helping San Francisco jump out to an 8-0 lead.

Puig's status for Saturday is uncertain. 

Frisco shoots for the series victory when the teams meet for the middle game of this three-game set Saturday afternoon (4:10 pm ET).


Saturday's Line
Early Saturday morning we found LA and Paul Maholm at +104 at Pinnacle Sports, while San Francisco and Madison Bumgarner could be gotten at -106 at 5Dimes.

The Giants could also be had at upwards of +150 giving the run and a half on the run line.

The total sat at 7.5 runs.

[gameodds]3/261079/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

 Saturday's Pitching Match-Up
Maholm will be making his first start as a Dodger; he got one out in one of the wins against Arizona in Australia a couple weeks ago. 

Last year, as a member of the Atlanta Braves, Maholm went 10-11 with a 4.41 ERA, throwing 153 innings, giving up 169 hits, walking 47 while striking out 105.

Maholm started once last year against San Francisco and got clipped for six runs and eight hits in four-plus innings of a 10-1 Braves loss.

Bumgarner will be making his second start of this season; Monday he gave up four unearned runs in the fourth inning against the Diamondbacks (thanks to two errors), then left the game after 78 pitches. The Giants came back to win that contest 9-8.

Frisco may have struggled last year, but Bumgarner did his part, going 13-9 with a 2.77 ERA, giving up just 146 hits in 201 innings, walking 62 while striking out 199.

Bumgarner started four times against LA last year, allowing just six ER and 15 hits through 28 innings, walking just three while whiffing 26. San Francisco won three of those four games, and three of those games played UNDER their totals.


Betting Trends
LA finished 22 games above .500 last season, but went just 26-27 against left-handed starters. 

But San Fran wasn't any better against lefties, going 24-31.


Saturdays Free Pick
We give Bumgarner a solid advantage in the pitching match-up, and the Giants are hitting the ball early on, scoring eight runs or more in three of their first five games. So we'll go with San Francisco for our free MLB pick for Saturday.

 

4th April
Giants vs. Dodgers Game 1

By: Ron Patrick

 

The LA Dodgers won the NL West last year and have their sights set on bigger things for this year. Their rivals to the north, the San Francisco Giants, would love nothing more than to throw a wrench in those grand plans, and maybe get back to the World Series themselves.

 

The Line
During our early-morning surfing of MLB betting shops we found LA and Hyun-Jin Ryu priced at -160 at The Greek, while San Fran and Ryan Vogelsong were getting +153 at 5Dimes.

Also, The Greek was lining the Dodgers at -165 to win this series, with the Giants getting +145.

 

The Situation
San Francisco began this season by taking three of four games in Arizona, scoring 23 runs in the process. 

LA just took two of three games in San Diego, scoring just nine runs but allowing just six, to up its record to 4-1. 

The Dodgers, with their massive payroll, went off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 92. They are also heavy favorites to repeat as champions of the NL West at a price of right around -250. 

The Giants, after dropping to 76 wins last year, began this season with a wins total of 86, getting around 7/2 to win the West. 

Even though San Francisco won 16 fewer games than Los Angeles last year, it took the season series from the Dodgers 11 games to eight.

 

Friday's Pitching Match-Up
Ryu started five times against San Francisco last year, giving up nine ER on 44 baserunners in 32 2/3 innings. LA won three of those five games, while the totals went 1-3-1.

The Dodgers went 19-11 in Ryu's starts last year, with the totals going 15-13.

Vogelsong went through one of those “lost” seasons last year, pitching poorly, getting hurt, in the end, winning just four games, posting a 5.73 ERA. So he's looking to bounce back this year. 

Vogelsong started twice against the Dodgers last year, and got clipped for 10 ER on 18 baserunners in just 10 2/3 innings. Somehow, the Giants won both those games. 

San Francisco went 9-10 in Vogelsong's starts last year, with the totals going 9-8.

 

Dodgers-Giants Betting Trends
LA went 66-43 last year against right-handed starters, while San Francisco went just 24-31 against lefties.

The totals leaned toward the UNDERS in this series last year by an 11-6-2 margin, as Dodgers-Giants games, excluding one in which San Francisco exploded for 19 runs, averaged 6.9 runs per.

 

Injury Update 
Dodgers OF Matt Kemp hasn't played yet this season, coming off ankle surgery, but there's a chance he'll be in the starting lineup Friday night. But in the bad news, LA is now without its set-up man out of the pen, after placing Brian Wilson ($10 million this season) on the DL with a sore elbow.

[gameodds]3/260974/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Game 1 Free Pick
We bet the Dodgers and Ryu in his last start, and he left the game after seven innings with a 1-0 lead, only to see Wilson blow the save. At least they won't have to worry about Wilson doing that again for a while. We give LA the edge in the pitching match-up, and in the lefty-righty split. So we'll go with the Dodgers, at the -160 offered at The Greek, for our free pick for Friday.

We'll update this series and the pitching match-ups as it plays out, with more free MLB pick to come. 

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