MLB Picks: Friday's Baseball Locks

Joe Catalano

Friday, April 11, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

The weekend is here and we have a lot of competitive matchups in the MLB. The only thing that we make me happier than the famed “Happy” song would be to deliver a couple of winners to the betting public with my picks.

Joe C. Record
12-12 -2.74 Units

The Nationals were everything that I thought that they would be and more. Stephen Strasburg came through and looked spectacular. Unfortunately, the Fightin Phils couldn’t break Milwaukee’s streak, leaving us with a split for our MLB picks yesterday.

 

Oakland Athletics (6-3) at Seattle Mariners (5-3)

It’s All About the Odds
If I can get “King” Felix Hernandez (2-0, 1.88) at home at a respectable price of -153, I’m going to take him.

Hernandez has gotten off to a quick start this season and has been the best pitcher in the American League over the last decade. To make things even more appealing, the Seattle Mariners are a better baseball team with the addition of Robinson Cano. Although Oakland is a very formidable team, home field +King Felix = a win.

 

Justin Smoak
Although Robinson Cano has been good thus far with a .300 BA and a .417 OBP, the power numbers are non-existent in 30 at-bats with just 2 RBI. That’s where Justin Smoak comes into the picture as he’s been “smoking” the baseball.

On the season, Smoak has 2 HR and 9 RBI to go along with his .300 BA. Smoak also gets his share of walks with an OBP % of .400.

Seattle doesn’t have the best hitting team in the league, but they’ve improved and that’s what Hernandez has needed for years and not gotten.

 

All They Do Is Win
Have you ever looked at a team and said “they’re okay” and all the team does is win games?

Last year it was the Braves and this year it’s been Oakland. The Athletics are 3-0 on the road and have outscored their opponent 27-11 in their last 4 games. We have to remember that 3 of these game were against the lowly Minnesota Twins, but still a quite impressive feat and should give King Felix a run for his money and the Oakland-faders a run for their money.

Oakland has been showing massive power as their top 8 out of 9 hitters have home runs led by Brandon Moss. Some teams in the majors don’t even have 8 home runs as a team collectively.

That said, I’m still siding with the M’s at home.

Pick- Seattle -153 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/261634/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


Miami Marlins (5-5) at Philadelphia Phillies (3-6)

Jose Fernandez Is In Town
That’s all that you really need to know as Fernandez is the quickest rising star in baseball where pitching is concerned. After an awesome rookie year in which Fernandez sported a 2.19 ERA on a crummy baseball team, this season he’s raced out of the gate with 2 wins and a 0.71 ERA. Fernandez gets a gift in facing a Philadelphia Phillies team that’s steadily going downhill. Although I love Fernandez as a pitcher, I don’t admire the team that supports him.

 

A.J. Burnett
We hear premature retirement, but ever since A.J. Burnett (0-1, 3.86) has left the New York Yankees, he’s been an outstanding top-flight pitcher. The record hasn’t always been there, but Burnett has a superb strikeout to innings ratio and has pitched well below a 4.00 ERA since leaving New York. The problem is, he’s on a lousy team also. At least with the Marlins, they’re a team on the rise  with players like Giancarlo Stanton instead of the Phillies, who are aging at a rapid pace.

 

Let’s Buy Some Runs
In this case, I’d like to buy ½ run to ensure security with my pick and we head over to 5 Dimes Sportsbook. The total for the game is 6.5 and I’m not trusting Burnett fully. Let’s buy ½ run, increasing the total to 7 at -133.

Pick- Philadelphia/Miami Under 7 -133 at 5 Dimes (Buying ½ run)

[gameodds]3/261624/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]