MLB Picks: Friday Baseball Betting Plays

Willie Bee

Friday, March 8, 2013 2:35 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 8, 2013 2:35 PM UTC

Let's check out a few of today's baseball matchups, as we look for the best value on offer for our MLB picks. Are there any games the deserve our attention?

Yankees Try Luck In Jupiter Vs. Marlins

Off to a winless start with our spring training MLB picks, feel free to fade my Friday plays starting with this 1 PM (ET) matchup at Roger Dean Stadium between the New York Yankees and Miami Marlins.

It's not exactly a marquee mound matchup as Adam Warren gets the call for New York opposite Nate Eovaldi. Can't help but guess that Warren is an unknown to most fans and bettors, but that doesn't stop the Yankees from drawing opening chalk according to the betting odds. New York was priced at -115, Miami was -105 on the take-back.

Baseball bettors might want to do a little research and find out what they can about Warren. He should leave camp as the No. 6 starter in Joe Girardi's rotation, meaning he begins the year at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and is the first arm called up when a NY geezer goes down to injury, as they surely will. Warren was a 4th-round pick out of UNC in '09 and already has 53 starts at the Triple-A, plus one disastrous first taste of big league ball last year for the parent club.

So far this spring, the righty has tossed five frames in a pair of starts, and the only hit off him was a solo homer by Boston's Mike Napoli in the second outing five days ago. Considering how things are going for New York, all it would take for Warren to make the Opening Day squad is for him to keep up his good work. We know the DL moves are going to happen in time.

Eovaldi, part of the Hanley Ramirez deal with the Dodgers last summer, only needs to stay healthy to make Miami's initial rotation. The Pride of Alvin Texas -- behind Nolan Ryan, that is -- has pitched better than his 5.79 ERA might indicate this spring (4.2 IP, 2 starts). 

There should be no problem with the weather (high in low-to-mid 70s, clear skies) and my first Friday fade offering is the Marlins -105.


Could Be Wet for Pads & ChiSox At Camelback Ranch

There's a nice pitching matchup in Glendale for a noon (Pacific Time) contest between the San Diego Padres and Chicago White Sox. Mother Nature may not let this one take place, however, with a 90% chance of rain and temps never making it out of the 50s.

Clayton Richard is scheduled for the Padres against Chicago's Jake Peavy. The White Sox started off as -125 home favorites while San Diego backers will receive +105. 

There's a lot of complaining about interleague games going on all the time, and you'll hear someone ask who is going to be interested in a game between the Padres and White Sox. Well, a pitching matchup like this is one reason. Sure, it's not Clayton Kershaw vs. Justin Verlander or Stephen Strasburg vs. CC Sabathia, but bettors aren't supposed to need that anyway, right? 

My Friday fade for this clash is to get behind Peavy and the Pale Hose -125.


Friday Night Lights for Twins & Red Sox

This is definitely a pitching matchup we could see during the regular season as longtime NL hurlers duel on Florida's Gulf Coast in a 7 PM (ET) start. Mike Pelfrey is slated for the visitors when the Minnesota Twins take on Ryan Dempster and the Boston Red Sox.

The weatherman is calling for the mid 60s at first pitch and cooling into the 50s under clear skies at Fenway South, and the overnight MLB odds made the BoSox -140 favorites. 

Dempster has been spot on this spring in two starts after signing a free agent deal in the winter. Pelfrey has run cold-&-hot in two outings since joining the Twins via the same route. Count me among those who like the Red Sox to at least be respectable this season, and count me among Dempster fans. I'm also sure the Twins won't bring up the rear of the American League this campaign, thanks to my beloved Houston Astros relocating, and admit to something of a bromance with Pelfrey since I first saw him pitch in college. 

My final pick is on the Red Sox at -140. And if you don't like my Friday fades, you still might find some sports betting value in my Saturday and Sunday fades to come since I'm here all weekend [rimshot].

My picks: Marlins -105, White Sox -125, Red Sox -140


Record: 0-3 (-$3.20)

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