The Plus Side
Yesterday was a good example of being on the plus side. Although I went 1-1, I still made a decent size profit. We took the Yankees-Red Sox with the UNDER and that didn’t come through, but I recognized a line that looked bad and it was as we collected with the Angels on great betting odds of +168 quite easily. The goal is to go 2-0, but Thursday was far from a failure.
Washington Nationals (71-68) at Miami Marlins (52-86)
Fernandez is a Gem
What might seem like a mismatch in favor of the Nationals actually isn’t as Dan Haren (8-12, 5.02) gets the start for the Nats as he takes on Jose Fernandez (10-6, 2.33) for Miami. Haren is very similar to that of Barry Zito in that there were high hopes when he begun his career, but things never panned out and Haren has gotten progressively worse as time has went on.
Fernandez is quite the opposite as he carries the 3rd best ERA in the National League behind Clayton Kershaw and Matt Harvey. Fernandez doesn’t get the same press as many other players because baseball isn’t popular in the South Florida area. Nonetheless, where would the Marlins be without the 2011 1st round draft pick?
Fernandez hasn’t given up more than 3 runs in each of his last 16 starts! It doesn’t get much better than that. When this strikeout machine takes the mound, it’s up to the Marlins offense to scratch out a few runs and against an inept Haren, this is totally possible.
Washington is coming off of a 3-2 victory of the Philadelphia Phillies to keep their faint playoff chances alive. The top of the Nats lineup in Span, Zimmerman, and Werth is very formidable and this will provide a test for the seemingly untouchable Jose Fernandez.
Pitching wins games and to the Marlins are the best baseball pick in this spot.
Free Pick- Miami Marlins -135 at Bet 365
Toronto Blue Jays (64-76) at Minnesota Twins (61-77)
A Depleted Twins Lineup
Although Minnesota managed to score 5 runs in a 6-5 loss yesterday to Houston, this is a very weak offense without Joe Mauer, Josh Willingham, and Justin Morneau (traded to the Pirates). When Brian Dozier is your cleanup hitter, you have a major problem.
R.A. Dickey (11-12, 4.30) takes the mound for the Jays as he faces Mike Pelfrey (5-10, 4.86) in a battle of two former New York Mets pitchers. Dickey had gotten off to a rough start this season, but has worked his way to respectability as he looks to even up his record at .500 with a victory tonight. This isn’t the same Dickey that won 20 game with the Mets and the knuckleball is unpredictable, but when Dickey “is right”, he’s a far superior pitcher than Pelfrey and along with players like Edwin Encarnacion and leadoff man, Jose Reyes, the Blue Jays have the edge in this game on the road.
In his last 2 games Reyes is a whopping 5 for 9 while Encarnacion is on a 7 game hitting streak with 2 home runs in his last 3 games. Both of these players could be a factor in this game and don’t count out role player Rajai Davis, who has been hitting well as of late.
Dickey and the Jays are the clear cut bet here.
Free Pick- Toronto Blue Jays -120 at Bet 365
Good luck, everyone!