MLB Picks: Fade Reds And Let Rockies Do The Work For You

Wednesday, June 1, 2016 6:50 PM GMT

The Reds bullpen has issued 117 walks this year, which is 24 more free passes than the second most base on balls given up by the Padres bullpen. Let's make an MLB pick!

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
The Colorado Rockies host the Cincinnati Reds for the third game of a four game series at Coors Field where runs have been easy to come by. The Rockies and Reds have combined for 40 runs through the first two games of the series, including an 11-8 Cincinnati victory in the opener, followed up by a 17-4 Colorado beatdown last night. Not surprisingly, both bullpens have been taxed, with the Reds’ staff taking the brunt of the offensive storm.

 

How To Quiet The Rockies
John Lamb takes the hill tonight for Cincinnati and inherits the unenviable task of attempting to quiet the Rockies’ bats in the most hitter-friendly park in all of baseball. Lamb’s peripheral numbers do not project well for his matchup tonight, as he has issued three walks in each of the last two outings, while only making it through a combined nine innings. Lamb’s strikeout to walk ratio is about even (1.17) through 23.2 innings this season, which is a very unfavorable statistic to have when taking the mound in Coors Field. The 25 year old lefty has also posted a WHIP that registers just under 2.00, and has let up seven more hits than he has completed innings pitched.

 

Catching Fire
To make matters worse, the young Cincinnati left-hander is running into a Rockies’ lineup that is catching fire. Colorado has been led by Carlos Gonzales who tries to continue tormenting Cincinnati while extending his hitting streak to ten games, while blasting a homerun in a career-high fifth straight contest. Also on a tear is Nolan Arenado, who was given Monday off after playing every game this season. He now has 16 home runs on the year after belting two yesterday and is tied for the major-league lead with Todd Frazier. Another Colorado slugger, Charlie Blackmon, is hitting the cover off the ball as well. Blackmon currently sports a .301 batting average and became the first player in franchise history to hit a leadoff homer in two straight games. He also extended his career-high on-base streak to 26 games with a pair of home runs, while matching a personal best with five RBIs on Tuesday.

 

Conclusions
On the defensive side, Tyler Chatwood, who was spectacular his last time out at Coors against the San Francisco Giants, will get the start for the Rockies. The 26 year old from Redlands, California went seven innings, while only letting up four hits and no free passes to the Giants’ lineup. Chatwood has matured significantly over the last few years, having battling through injuries and overcoming Tommy John Surgery. This experienced righty has seemed to figure out the disadvantages of pitching a mile high, and has shown much improvement in his numbers of late. Given Chatwood’s recent success, and the major question marks around John Lamb and not forgetting the Reds bullpen has been overly used, not to mention is likely the least talented bullpen in all of baseball sporting a 1.71 WHIP. The Reds bullpen has issued 117 walks this year, which is 24 more free passes than the second most base on balls given up by the Padres bullpen (93). I strongly recommend a wager on the Rockies on the runline -1.5 (-120).

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Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-115)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline