MLB Picks: Fade the Public on Friday with Angels/Red Sox 'Under' 8.0

Ross Benjamin

Friday, May 22, 2015 1:20 PM GMT

Our resident MLB handicapping professional previews Friday’s game between the Angels and Red Sox. Join us in reading this enlightening betting article that culminates with an MLB pick on the total.

Angels at Fenway Park to Open Weekend Series
The Red Sox and Angels will meet for the first time this season on Friday at Fenway Park in Boston, and the opening pitch is slated for 7:10 PM ET. According to the MLB odds at Bookmaker, Boston is a -110 money line favorite, and the posted total is 8.5. The Angels were 5-2 versus the Red Sox in 2014, and five of those seven stayed under the total.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Angels young right-hander Garrett Richards will take the mound on Friday. He’s displayed extremely good form during his last three starts, posting a stellar 1.69 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Richards has two career starts versus the Red Sox, both of those outings came in 2014, and he posted a more than respectable 3.38 ERA.

The Red Sox will call upon veteran right-hander Rick Porcello to make the start today. Porcello has gone 3-0 in his last three team starts, posted a sparkling 2.41 ERA, and had a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Porcello saw both of his starts in 2014 versus the Angels go under the total, allowing just one earned run in 14.0 innings pitched, and struck out ten while walking only one.

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Both Teams on a Low Scoring Roll
The Angels have gone 7-2 under the total in the last nine, and 12-4 under during their previous sixteen games. They’re hitting just .235 as a team over their last seven games.

The Red Sox have gone 16-3-1 under the total in their previous twenty games, and that includes 8-0 under the number in the last eight. Boston has scored two runs or less in seven of the last nine, and thirteen of their previous nineteen games. Contrarily, they allowed just three runs or less in seven of their previous eight games.

 

Final Analysis
Both of these starting pitchers for Friday’s game at Fenway Park enter in very good form over their previous three starts. Neither team is scoring runs or hitting with any type of regularity during the past few weeks. For whatever reason, the general public early wagering has overwhelmingly been on going over the total, yet the number has dropped from the opener of 8.5 to 8.0 at several sportsbooks. I like this game to be a low scoring affair for one of my MLB picks on Friday.

MLB Pick: Angels and Red Sox to go under the total of 8.5 at Bookmaker.