MLB Picks: Expect Cubs To Prevail For Tonight's Pitching Matchup Against Towel-Tosser Angels

Chicago Cubs

Wednesday, August 10, 2016 4:06 PM GMT

The Cubs beat the Angels 5-1 last night in Game 1 of their early-week set. Expect more of the same tonight. You will also be given ample ammunition for playing this game on the run line for you MLB pick.  

LA Angels (Nolasco) vs. Chicago Cubs (Hammel)
If you refer to my August 1st article regarding Towel-Tossers, you will see that the Angels were at the top of my list as PLAY AGAINST teams in the American League. They have since gone 2-5 and enter tonight on a 5-game losing streak. The Angels are currently in the basement of the AL West with a record that is better only than Minnesota and Tampa Bay in the AL. Their 5 losses have come as a result of a pitching staff that has allowed a total of 30 runs in those defeats (an average of 6 RPG). Newly acquired starter, Nolasco (from Minnesota), is not the answer. 

The Cubs, meanwhile, have turned things around since their 27-29 mid-season slide. Chicago is now on an 18-6 uptick, including winning 11 of 12, in which time they have allowed 2 or less runs in 9 of those 12 games. They are returning to full health with a starting rotation that is getting it all together. The Cubs have the best record in MLB once again at 70-41 and stand 38-17 on this field. 

Turning our attention to tonight’s pitching matchup, we find a huge advantage for the Cubs. The Angels, Nolasco, is a journeyman, who has now pitched for 4 teams in the last 4 years. Nolasco has had an ERA north of 5.00 in each of those last 3 seasons, including a record of 4-8 with a 5.23 ERA for the season. In his first start for the Angels, Nolasco allowed 5 runs on 6 hits in a 8-6 loss to Oakland. There is little reason to think it will be much better against tonight’s hot hitting opponent. His mound opponent will be Jason Hammel, a 10-year veteran who has a record of 11-5 with a 3.07 ERA. Coming off bereavement leave, due to a death in the family, is the only potential negative in this pitching matchup. Yet, he is off an outstanding roll of late and has pitched superlative ball from this mound this season. Hammel is on a run of 4-0 and has allowed 2 or less runs in 5 consecutive starts dating to July 1st. In his most recent 24 IP, Hammel has allowed just 4 runs and only 16 hits with a 27/8 K/BB ratio dating to July 1st. He has pitched his best ball from this mound, where in 10 starts spanning 56 1/3 IP, he has a 2.24 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP and a .197 BAA.

We comfortably make this play on the run line knowing that the last 10 LAA losses have been by 2 or more runs, while the Cubs have won 55 of their 70 victories by 2 or more runs, including 30 of their 38 home wins. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Chicago Cubs tonight.

 

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -1.5 +120
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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