Dodgers vs. Rockies Game 3
By: Ron Patrick
As of early Sunday AM Los Angeles and Clay Kershaw were chalked at around -150 over Colorado and Jorge De La Rosa, with a total of nine runs. The Dodgers could also be played at around +115 on the run line.
Colorado rapped out 11 hits in seven innings off LA starter Zack Greinke, then, after blowing a 3-0 lead, won the game on a Brandon Barnes triple in the bottom of the tenth. The Rockies ended up with 16 hits – 15 singles.
Colorado won as +120 home dogs, and the game squeezed UNDER its total of 9.5 runs.
Our Saturday free pick involved the Dodgers on the run line at a price of +120, so we basically saved ourselves $30 by not backing LA on the money line at -130.
Dodgers Yasiel Puig and Dee Gordon both left Saturday's game with injuries, and both are iffy for Sunday.
De La Rosa (6-4, 3.68) is six-for-12 on quality starts this year, but basically four for his last four. Tuesday he gave up three runs in seven innings against Arizona, and over his last four starts, plus that rain-shortened game against the Giants two weeks ago, he's permitted just six ER over his last 29 innings.
For the season De La Rosa has allowed fewer hits, 53, than innings pitched, 66, walked 26 and struck out 48. Colorado is 7-4 in De La Rosa's starts, with the totals going 6-4.
Since the beginning of last year De La Rosa has started four times against the Dodgers, giving up 11 ER in 24 innings. Colorado won three of those four games.
Outside of a bombing at the hands of the Diamondbacks three weeks ago Kershaw (3-2, 3.32) has pretty much been himself since coming back from the DL. He's six-for-seven on quality starts this season, including three for his last three. Monday Kershaw held the White Sox to a Jose Abreu two-run homer through eight innings of a 5-2 Dodgers victory, and over his last three outings he's given up five ER in 21 innings, with 27 strikeouts.
For the season Kershaw has allowed 40 hits in 43 1/3 innings, walked just seven and whiffed 55. LA is 4-3 in Kershaw's starts, with the totals going 4-3.
Kershaw started five times against the Rockies last year, giving up 11 ER in 34 innings. The Dodgers won four of those five games.
Free Pick for Sunday
Considering the Dodgers might be without Puig and Gordon, bettors might want to check the lineup card before getting down on this game. But even without knowing for sure, we like the UNDER nine runs, at the -115 offered at 5Dimes, for Sunday's free MLB pick.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Game 2
By: Ron Patrick
In the early betting LA and Zack Greinke were favored by around -140 over Colorado and Jhoulys Chacin, with a total of 10 runs. The Dodgers could also be gotten at around +115 on the run line.
LA rapped out 12 hits Friday night, scoring runs in the first, second, fifth and sixth innings to pull away for the 7-2 victory. The Dodgers won as -110 favorites, and to our delight covered against the run line at a price of +125.
Friday's game also sneaked UNDER its total of 10 runs.
On an injury note Rockies OF Mike Cuddyer missed Friday's game with a sore shoulder, and is questionable for today.
Chacin (0-4, 5.51) is just one-for-six on quality starts this season, and 0 for his last four. Last time out he gave up four runs in five innings against Cleveland, and over his last four starts he's allowed 14 runs in 21 2/3 innings.
On the season, which for Chacin began one month ago, he's allowed 33 hits in 32 2/3 innings, but his K/BB ratio stinks, at 20/16. Colorado is a perfect 0-6 in his starts.
Chacin started four times against Los Angeles last year, allowing 14 runs in 24 2/3 innings; and yet the Rockies won three of those four games.
Greinke (8-2, 2.50) is seven-for-12 on quality starts, although he's coming off his worst outing of the season, last Sunday against Pittsburgh, in which he gave up four runs in six innings of a 5-3 Dodgers loss. Over his last two starts he's given up seven runs in 13 2/3 innings.
For the season Greinke has allowed 65 hits in 72 innings, walked 16 and whiffed 83. LA is 8-4 in Greinke's starts, with the totals leaning toward the OVERS by an 8-4 margin.
Greinke started four times against the Rockies last year, giving up 10 runs in 25 1/3 innings; the Dodgers split those four games.
Free Pick for
We won with LA on the run line Friday night, and that seems like the way to go today, too. So we'll take the Dodgers, giving the run and a half, getting +118 at Pinnacle, for Saturday's free MLB pick.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Game 1
By: Ron Patrick
As of early Friday morning most books were chalking LA and Hyun-Jin Ryu at around -135 over Colorado and rookie Eddie Butler, with a total of 10 runs. The Dodgers could also be played at around +125 giving the run and a half on the run line. Which of these lines might offer the best value for our MLB picks tonight?
Colorado just got swept three games at home by Arizona, losing Thursday 12-7. So after a good start to this season the Rockies have lost seven games in a row and nine of their last 10.
Los Angeles, meanwhile, just lost two of three games at home to the White Sox, scoring one run in each of the last two games. So LA has lost two series in a row and six of its last eight games.
At 31-30 the Dodgers are in second place in the NL West, 8.5 games behind first-place San Francisco, while the Rockies, at 28-31, are in third place, 10.5 games back.
This is the second meeting this season between these divisional rivals; back in April the Rockies went to LA and took two of three games from the Dodgers.
Butler, a 23-year-old righty, will make his ML debut Friday night. He was most recently taken by Colorado in the first round (supplemental) of the MLB draft in 2012. Since then, in two-plus seasons in the Minors Butler has gone 20-10 with a 2.05 ERA, allowing just 217 hits in 286 innings, with 238 strikeouts.
Butler got the call from the Big Club after going 4-4/2.49 at AA Tulsa this spring.
Ryu (6-2, 3.09) is seven-for-10 on quality starts this season, and three for his last three. Last time out he held Pittsburgh to two runs through six innings, and over his last three starts he's given up seven runs through 19 1/3 innings.
On the season Ryu has allowed 59 hits in 58 1/3 innings, with 12 walks and 51 strikeouts. LA is 6-4 in Ryu's starts, with the totals going 4-4.
Ryu has started three times against Colorado in his short ML career, including once back in April, during which he gave up five ER in five innings of a 6-1 Dodgers loss. Together, in those three starts against the Rockies, Ryu has allowed nine ER and 20 hits in 15 innings; LA lost two of those three games.
As for the bullpens in this series LA ranks 19th with a 3.80 ERA while going 19-for-24 on save conversions, while Colorado ranks 27th in ERA at 4.48 and has blown as many saves, 11, as it's converted.
At the Bat
LA ranks 12th in the Majors in team OBP at .320, 14th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game and No. 1 in stolen bases with 67.
Colorado ranks second in OBP at .334, second in home runs with 78 and third in scoring at 5.0 RPG.
Dodgers-Rockies Betting Trends
LA is 18-11 on the road this season.
Colorado is 16-10 at home.
The Rockies have played seven OVERS in their last nine games.
The totals are 15-11 in games played at Coors Field this season.
The Dodgers are playing without AJ Ellis, Carl Crawford and Juan Uribe, who are all on the DL with various ailments.
The Rockies, meanwhile, are without Carlos Gonzalez and Nolan Arenado, who are also both on the DL at the moment.
Free Pick for Friday
We've had good luck backing Ryu over the last season-plus, so we're leaning toward LA today. And since we like to gamble we'll go with the Dodgers on the run line, getting +125 at Pinnacle, for our free pick on Friday's game.