MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Rockies Series Coverage

Darin Zank

Friday, May 31, 2013 12:45 PM GMT

Friday, May. 31, 2013 12:45 PM GMT

The LA Dodgers might be the biggest disappointment in baseball so far this season, while the Colorado Rockies, despite a poor last week, have exceeded expectations.

LA will try to get something going when it visits Denver for three games with the Rockies starting Friday night (8:40 pm ET).

 

02 June
Game 2

By: Ron Patrick

Colorado got this series to even with a 7-6 victory in 10 innings Saturday afternoon. The Rockies tied the score on a Mike Cuddyer homer in the seventh, then won it on a Dexter Fowler base hit with two outs in the bottom of the tenth.

The Rockies won Saturday, thank you very much, as -135 favorites on the MLB betting odds board, and the game, like Friday's, played OVER on the total.

So with Colorado in second place in the NL West and LA in last place the teams will play a series rubber match Sunday afternoon (4:10 pm ET).

Sunday's Betting Line

As of Sunday morning most books we consulted were listing Colorado with Jorge De La Rosa at around -140 over LA and Hyun-Jin Ryu, with the total set at 9.5.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

De La Rosa (6-3, 3.16), the lefty from Mexico, is six-for-11 on quality starts this season, and three for his last five. Last time out DLR held the Astros to one run through seven innings, and over his last five starts, even with a poor outing against San Francisco a couple weeks ago, he's allowed just seven ER through 30 1/3 innings.

On the season DLR has given up 58 hits in 62 2/3 innings, but his K/BB ratio is a rather mediocre 38/22. Still, the Rockies are 8-3 in DLR's starts this year.

De La Rosa has started once against LA this season and got knocked around for six runs and 11 hits in four innings of a 6-2 Colorado defeat at Dodger Stadium April 30.

Ryu (6-2, 2.89), a lefty Korean import, has been a pleasant bright spot for LA so far this season. He's seven-for-11 on quality start this year, and three for his last four. Last time out he threw a beauty, blanking the Angles on two hits, walking none while striking out seven. And over his last four starts he's allowed just five ER through 28 innings.

For the season Ryu has permitted just 59 hits in 71 2/3 innings, walked 22 and whiffed 67.

The Dodgers, a team that's eight games under .500 overall, are 7-4 in Ryu's starts.

Ryu has started once this season against the Rockies, and got the win in that same game De La Rosa lost, holding them to two runs and three hits through six innings, striking out 12.

Ryu took a batted ball off his foot Tuesday against the Angels, and there was some concern he might not be able to make this start. But as of Sunday AM he was still scheduled to go.

Sunday's Betting Odds Report~

[gameodds]3/228518/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Injury Update

LA's Carl Crawford tweaked a hammy Saturday, and is questionable for Sunday. The Dodgers are already playing without Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp, among others.

Our Take on Sunday's Game

We've backed Ryu several times already this season, and he's come through. Also, Colorado owns one of the larger righty-lefty differentials in baseball this season, going 21-14 against right-handers but 8-13 against lefties. So despite the injuries we'll go with LA, getting the underdog price, for our free MLB pick for Sunday.

MLB Pick: Take LA at the +131 offered at William Hill.

 

01 June
Saturday Game

By: Ron Patrick

LA won the first game of this series Friday night 7-5 in 10 innings, blowing a 5-0 lead, allowing a game-tying homer in the bottom of the ninth, then scoring twice in the top of the tenth for the victory. 

The Dodgers won as -130 favorites on Friday's MLB betting line, and the game played OVER its total of 8.5. 

In fact, all four of the meetings between these teams this season have gone OVER on the totals. 

So, Colorado has lost six of its last seven games, while LA has won three of its last five, as the teams head into the middle game of this three-game set Saturday afternoon (4:10 pm ET). 

Saturday's Dodgers-Rockies Betting Line 

As of Saturday morning most MLB betting outlets were chalking Colorado with Jhoulys Chacin at around -130 over LA and Zack Greinke, with the total proffered at 9.5. 

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Chacin (3-3, 3.90), by our strict standards, is four-for-nine on quality starts this season, but only one for his last five, after coming off the DL a month ago. Last time out he held the Astros to two runs through seven innings, but over his four starts previous to that he had allowed 18 ER over 23 2/3 innings. 

For the season, though, Chacin has allowed fewer hits, 49, than innings pitched, 55 1/3, and given up just one home run, way back in his first start of the season April 1. 

The Rockies are 4-5 in Chacin's starts this year. 

Chacin started once against LA last year and got bombed for seven runs and 11 hits in less than five innings of a 7-6 Colorado loss at Coors Field in May. 

Right after coming off the DL a couple weeks ago Greinke (2-1, 4.38) held the Nationals to one run through five-plus innings; but over his last two starts, including a rough outing five days ago against the Angels, Greinke has been tagged for nine ER and 19 hits in just eight innings, registering just three strikeouts over that span.

For the season the former Cy Young Award winner has given up 31 hits through 24 2/3 innings, but the Dodgers are 4-1 in games he's started.

This will be Greinke's first start against Colorado since 2011, when he was with Milwaukee.

[gameodds]3/228457/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Saturday's Game

Neither starting pitcher has done a whole lot lately to inspire confidence, but at the moment we'll give Chacin the edge over Greinke. Also, LA is only 9-15 on the road this season, while Colorado is 16-12 at home. So we'll go with the Rockies for our free MLB pick for Saturday.

Pick: Take Colorado at the -129 offered at MatchBook.

 Also, check out our Best Baseball Picks of the Day!~

 

31 May
Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 

Should the Dodgers continue to be faded on the MLB betting lines? Or might they be worth backing this weekend?

Dodgers-Rockies Betting Odds

Most books we surfed Friday morning opened LA with Clay Kershaw at around -150 over Colorado  and Jon Garland, with the OVER/UNDER offered at 8.5. Many books then dropped the price on the Dodgers a nickel or so, to the -145 range.

Also, The Greek was chalking Los Angeles at -115 to win this series, with the Rockies “getting” -105 as home dogs.

Dodgers-Rockies Series Set-Up

LA just split four Freeway Series games with the Angels, winning the first two games at home, then losing two games at the Big A, including a 3-2 decision on Thursday.

In going 7-9 over its last 16 games LA has been held to three runs or fewer 12 times. 

Colorado, meanwhile, just dropped three of four games to lowly Houston, splitting two games at home, then losing twice on the road, including Thursday's series finale 7-5.

In losing five of their last six games the Rockies have scored a total of 20 runs.

So Colorado, at 28-26, has dropped to third place in the NL West, 2.5 games behind first-place Arizona, while LA, at 22-30, is still mired in last place, 7.5 games back of the D'Backs.

This is the second meeting this season between these divisional rivals. One month ago the Rockies took two of three games in LA, and all three of those games played OVER on the totals, as the teams combined to score 32 runs.

Stay on top of the betting lines with our odds report, here~

Friday's Pitching Match-Up

Kershaw (5-3, 1.68) is seven-for-11 on quality starts this season, and five for his last six. Last time out he gave up four runs in seven innings in a 5-3 loss to St. Louis, but before that he had allowed just three ER over his previous five starts, covering 39 2/3 innings.

For the season Kershaw has given up just 49 hits in 80 1/3 innings, walked 21 and struck out 77.

And yet, because of some poor run support, LA is only 6-5 in games Kershaw has started this season.

This will be Kershaw's first start this season vs. Colorado; last year, in two starts vs. the Rockies, Kershaw gave up five runs in 7 1/3 innings at Coors Field in May, but got a win when he held them scoreless on five hits through eight innings at Dodger Stadium in September. 

Garland (3-6, 5.05), by our strict standards, is just two-for-10 on quality starts this season, and 0 for his last seven. Last time out he gave up five runs- two earned - in five innings vs. the Giants, and over his last seven outings he's been tagged for 28 ER and 58 hits in just 36 innings.

On the season Garland has given up 74 hits through 57 innings, and his K/BB ratio is weak, at 28/19.

Colorado won Garland's first three starts this season, but has lost six of his last seven.

This will be Garland's first start against the Dodgers, for whom he's pitched parts of two recent seasons, since 2010, when he was a Padre.

In the battle of the bullpens for this series Rockies relievers rank sixth in the Majors with a 3.11 ERA and are 12-for-17 on save opportunities, while the LA pen ranks 22nd with a 4.14 ERA and is 13-for-22 on save opps.

Dodgers-Rockies Betting Trends

Colorado is two games over .500 overall and 20-14 vs. right-handed starting pitchers this season, but only 8-12 vs. lefties.

These two teams have leaned slightly toward the OVERS on the totals this season, by a combined margin of 55-47.

But the O/Us are only 12-15 in games played at Coors Field this year.

Dodgers-Rockies Injury Update

LA is still playing without Hanley Ramirez, and just placed Matt Kemp on the DL with a bad hamstring. Then again, Kemp has been lousy at the plate this season, with just two homers and a .305 OBP.

Our Take on Friday's Game

The Dodgers have been having some serious trouble scoring runs, but Garland hasn't exactly been tough to hit this season. Bottom line, though, for us on this game is this; the last time Kershaw gave up as many as four runs in a game, which came last July against St. Louis, he immediately bounced back and threw a complete-game shut-out against the Giants. And the Rockies are not as good against lefties as they are against righties. So we'll go with LA for our free MLB pick for Friday.

Pick: Take the Dodgers at the -143 

[gameodds]3/228412/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Bettors interested in this series should check back at this page for updated pitching match-ups and more free picks, for what they're worth, over the weekend.

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