MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Giants Weekend Coverage

Darin Zank

Friday, July 5, 2013 1:30 PM GMT

Might we cash in on the happenings out by McCovey Cove this weekend? We'll try, as we provide pitching match-ups, betting odds and free picks for these three games.

San Francisco evened this series with a 4-2 victory Saturday afternoon, as Madison Bumgarner stymied the Dodgers again, allowing just three hits and striking out nine in seven innings. 

The Giants won Saturday as -185 favorites on the MLB betting odds, and the game played UNDER its total of seven. 

So these two division rivals get to play a series rubber match Sunday afternoon (4:05 pm ET). 

Sunday's Betting Odds 

most baseball books we sampled Sunday morning were listing LA and Clay Kershaw at around -160 over San Fran and Chad Gaudin, with an OVER/UNDER of 6.5 runs. 

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up 

Gaudin (2-1, 2.60) will come off the DL, where he's been since taking a come-backer off his elbow three weeks ago, to make his fifth start of the year, to go along with 18 relief appearances. So far he's 2-for-4 on quality starts, and San Francisco is 2-2 in games he's started. Most recently Gaudin held Miami scoreless through 4 1/3 innings back on June 20, and during the month of June he allowed eight ER in 21 1/3 innings. 

For the season Gaudin has given up 43 hits in 52 innings, walked 18 and struck out 41. 

In two relief appearances vs. LA this season Gaudin has allowed four hits and no runs in 3 1/3 innings. 

Kershaw (7-5, 1.93) is 14-for-18 on quality starts this season, and six for his last seven. Last time out he threw a four-hit shutout against Colorado, and over his last six starts he's allowed 10 ER in 43 innings. 

On the season CK has given up just 88 hits in 130 innings, walked 33 and whiffed 126. But the Dodgers are “only” 10-8 in games he's started. 

Kershaw has started three times against the Giants this year, holding them to three ER and 11 hits  through 24 innings. Somehow LA lost one of those games. 

For his career Kershaw owns a 0.74 ERA in eight starts at AT&T Park.

Check out our picks on the Angels vs. Red Sox~

[gameodds]3/238206/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Sunday's Game 

Kershaw has been nasty vs. the Giants, so we're definitely leaning his way. But that price is a bit high for our taste. So we'll gamble a little and go with a run-line play on LA for our free sports pick for Sunday.

Pick: Take the Dodgers giving the 1.5 runs at +100 at William Hill.

 

6 July
Saturday's Game

By: Ron Patrick

 

LA took the opener of this rivalry series Friday night 10-2, thanks to seven RBI from Juan Uribe and another quality start from Hyun-Jin Ryu.

The Dodgers, to our delight, won as +125 MLB odds dogs on Friday's MLB betting line, and the game went OVER its total of 6.5 when LA scored six times in the third inning.

The Dodgers have now scored 39 runs over their last five games, while the offensively-challenged  Giants have scored a total of 28 runs over their last 14 games.

So, LA shoots for the series victory when the teams meet Saturday (7:15 pm ET).

Saturday's Betting Odds

As of Saturday AM most baseball books were listing San Francisco and Madison Bumgarner at around -155 over LA and Stephen Fife, with an OVER/UNDER of seven.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Bumgarner (8-5, 3.08) is 11-for-17 on quality starts this season, and working on a string of four in a row. Last time out he held the Rockies to one run through seven innings, and over his last four starts he's allowed five ER through 28 innings.

For the season Bumsie has permitted just 78 hits in 111 innings, walked 33 and struck out 107.

San Francisco, which is now seven games under .500 overall, is 10-7 in Bumgarner's starts.

Bumgarner has started twice this season against LA, allowing just two ER and seven hits through 15 innings. Still, San Francisco could only manage to split those two games.

Fife (3-2, 2.83), by our strict standards, is 3-for-7 on quality starts this year, but he's only allowed more than three runs once, and that came in his first outing of the season back in April. Last time out Fife held Philly scoreless through seven innings, and over his last three starts he's allowed four ER through 19 2/3 innings.

On the season Fife has given up 39 hits in 41 1/3 innings, walked 11 and struck out 35.

LA is 4-3 in Fife's starts this year.

In his one start this season vs. the Giants Fife allowed three ER and four hits, including a couple of homers, in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-5 Dodgers victory 11 days ago.

Injury Update

Dodgers OF Matt Kemp tweaked a shoulder Friday night and eventually left the game. He is probably out for the rest of this series.

Our Take on Saturday's Game

Bumgarner has been very good, and he's been tough on the Dodgers. But San Francisco just can't score any runs at the moment, and that price is way too high for a team having such a serious problem. So in searching for some value we'll go with LA for our free MLB pick for Saturday.

[gameodds]3/238161/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Pick: Take the Dodgers at the +155 offered at Will Hill.

 

 

06 July
Friday's Game

By: Willie Bee

 

Both the defending World Series champion San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers are struggling just to play .500 baseball heading into a three-game series at AT&T Park this weekend. But both are also still within spittin' distance of first place in the NL West. Let's look at the MLB odds for Game 1.

Friday's Betting Odds

As of Friday morning most baseball books we checked were listing San Francisco and Matt Cain at around -125 for Friday night's series opener (10:15 pm ET) over LA and Hyun-Jin Ryu, with an OVER/UNDER of 6.5. 

Also, The Greek was chalking the Giants at -115 to win this series, with the Dodgers “getting” -105.

Dodgers-Giants Series Set-Up

LA has won 10 of its last 12 games, scoring at least five runs seven times in that span. The Dodgers just took two of three games at Colorado, missing out on the sweep by losing Thursday 9-5.

San Francisco, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, scoring a total of just 26 runs over that span. The Giants just got swept three games at Cincinnati, scoring three runs total on seven hits (!), to complete a 1-8 road trip. Fortunately for them, Thursday's game vs. the Reds got rained out.

So, at 40-44 the Dodgers are in third place in the NL West, 3.5 games behind first-place Arizona, while the Giants, at 39-45, are in last place, 4.5 games out.

San Fran has taken five of nine games from LA this season. Also, the totals have gone 3-5-1 in this series this year, as the games have averaged just over seven runs per.

Friday's Pitching Match-Up

Cain (5-4, 4.29), after posting sub-three ERAs three of the last four seasons, hasn't quite been his usual self this season. But he is 9-for-17 on quality starts, and four for his last five. Most recently he held Colorado to one run and three hits through eight innings, and over his last five starts he's allowed just seven ER in 34 2/3 innings.

On the season Cain has given up 87 hits in 109 innings, but 16 of those hits went over the fence, which caused some problems early this year. But he also owns a solid 101/30 K/BB ratio.

San Francisco lost Cain's first five starts this year, then won his next six, but has since lost four of his last six outings.

Cain has already started twice against LA this year, allowing just one ER and nine hits through 13 1/3 innings. Somehow, the Giants only won one of those games. 

Ryu (6-3, 2.83) is 10-for-16 on quality starts this year, and two for his last two. Last time out he held the Phillies to two runs through seven innings, and just before that he limited these Giants to one run in 6 2/3 innings.

Ryu has now gone nine starts in a row allowing three ER or fewer.

For the season Ryu has given up 96 hits in 105 innings, walked 34 and struck out 87.

LA, a team that's four games under .500 overall, is 10-6 in Ryu's starts.

Ryu has already started three times against San Francisco this year, allowing six ER and 26 hits in 19 innings; the Dodgers, though, lost two of those games.

The totals are a combined 21-10 in Cain and Ryu's starts this season, mainly because their games are regularly pegged with among the lowest totals on the board.

In the battle of the bullpens for this series the Giants rank sixth in the Majors with a 3.09 ERA and have converted 20 of 29 save opportunities, while LA ranks 28th with a 4.43 ERA and has blown 16 of 40 save opps.

Dodgers-Giants Betting Trends

San Francisco may be six games under .500 overall this year but it's also 24-15 at home.

LA is 15-23 on the road.

Dodgers-Giants Injury Update

LA could get some good news with the possible return of OF Carl Crawford from the DL this weekend.

Over in the other dugout San Fran has been playing without a couple of its glue guys, Angel Pagan, who's on the DL, and Marco Scutaro, who's missed recent action with a sore back. The Giants are 13-24 this year without Pagan. 

Our Take on Friday's Game

The Dodgers are hot, the Giants are not. We'll call the pitching match-up a push, and give San Fran the edge in the bullpen, but LA is scoring runs by the handful, while the Giants are having a hell of a time at the plate. And Los Angeles is getting an underdog price. So we'll go with the Blue Crew for our free MLB pick for Friday.

[gameodds]3/238083/?r-1=43-349-192-186/us[/gameodds]

Pick: Take the Dodgers at the +120 offered at Bet365.