MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Analysis

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, July 9, 2013 2:20 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Dodgers are one of the hottest teams in baseball, but they may cool off against the Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday night.


In search of winning sports picks, let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League West matchup at Chase Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. 

Closing in on the division lead

Los Angeles is 10-2 in its last 12 games against NL West opponents, which includes a 6-1 series-opening victory over Arizona as +102 road underdogs Monday, while going UNDER the betting total for a third consecutive contest.

The Dodgers are now just 3.5 games back of the Diamondbacks in the NL West division, but still possess a minus-26 run differential on the season.

Owning the series

Arizona has compiled a dominating 19-9 record versus Los Angeles since the start of the 2012 campaign, which includes a 7-3 mark in its last 10 home games in the series.

The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last nine home games overall—outscoring opponents by a 46-23 margin over that span.

Nolasco

Ricky Nolasco (5-8, 3.85 ERA) will make his first career start with the Dodgers, as he’s spent the first seven-plus years as a professional with the Miami Marlins franchise.

The right-hander is 2-3 with a 3.20 ERA in nine road games, issuing 12 walks and striking out 45 batters in 56.1 combined innings.

In nine lifetime outings versus the Diamondbacks, Nolasco has tallied a winning 6-2 record and 4.14 ERA, including a 3-1 mark and 5.21 ERA in five games at this ballpark.

Kennedy

Diamondbacks starting pitcher Ian Kennedy (3-4, 5.16 ERA) will make his first home start since May 15, as he comes off a no-decision effort in leading the team to a 5-4 road victory over the New York Mets last time out.

The right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.55 ERA in five starts in the desert, with opposing hitters batting .267 against him.

In 10 career starts versus the Dodgers, Kennedy has compiled a 5-3 record and 3.77 ERA, including a 0-1 mark and 6.00 ERA in two outings this season.

[gameodds]3/238402/?r-1=349-43-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Diamondbacks as one of their MLB picks Tuesday, as the Dodgers are 7-19 in their last 26 games as road underdogs.

Kennedy has also put together a 0.69 ERA in his last four appearances with umpire Marvin Hudson behind home plate.

MLB Pick: Bet Arizona Diamondbacks -110 at William Hill