MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Cardinals NLCS Game 1

Jeff Grant

Friday, October 11, 2013 12:05 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 11, 2013 12:05 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Dodgers captured the regular season series against the St. Louis Cardinals, as the two teams prepare to meet up in the postseason. Who are we backing with our MLB picks in tonight's Game 1?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for Game 1 of the 2013 NLCS at Busch Stadium, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:37 p.m. ET on TBS.

Review our NLCS Series Price Predictions.

Blue Crew

Los Angeles advanced past the Atlanta Braves in winning its NLDS series in four games, with shortstop Hanley Ramirez leading the way offensively, as he collected eight hits in 16 at-bats.

The Dodgers will benefit from him being in the lineup in this matchup, considering he didn’t play in any of the seven regular-season meetings against the Cardinals, with the club winning four of those contests.

MLB handicappers will find that the Dodgers have won 20 of their last 27 games as road favorites.

Old habit 

St. Louis certainly knows how to win in the postseason, as it attempts to reach the World Series for the fourth time in 10 years—reaching this stage after moving past the Pittsburgh Pirates in the previous round.

The Cardinals hit just .185 with runners in scoring position versus the Pirates, which was far lower than their MLB-leading .330 mark in that category during the regular season. 

It’s important to point out that first baseman Allen Craig will continue to sit out during the playoffs—a huge blow due to his .454 average in the previously mentioned situation. 

Greinke

Dodgers starting pitcher Zack Greinke (15-4, 2.63 ERA) was handed a 4-3 road loss by the Atlanta Braves in Game 2 of the NLDS, as he allowed two runs and four hits over six frames.

The right-hander went 7-2 with a 3.21 ERA in 14 road outings during the regular season, with opposing hitters batting .263 against him. 

In five appearances (four starts) at Busch Stadium, Greinke has compiled a 3-1 record and 2.28 ERA. 

Kelly 

Cardinals starting pitcher Joe Kelly (10-5, 2.69 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 5-3 loss to the Pirates in the previous round, as he surrendered three runs (two earned) and five hits over 5.1 innings of work. 

In four outings (three starts) versus the Dodgers, Kelly has tallied a 1-1 record and 3.72 ERA.

[gameodds]3/247230/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Dodgers with your MLB picks, as they’ve gone 9-2 in Greinke’s last 11 road starts.

MLB Pick:  Los Angeles Dodgers -120

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