MLB Picks & Division Updates: NL West is Getting Overworked on Totals

Doug Upstone

Sunday, May 17, 2015 12:01 AM GMT

If you are a fan of betting totals at sportsbooks, than the National League West is the division for you, with four of the teams trending Over. How long can this last against the MLB odds?

With as many talented offenses as there are in this division and a couple of parks conducive to run scoring, it might be MLB odds makers who will be able to answer that question as the season unfolds. Here is how the events have shaped the current numbers.

 

Dodgers a Scoring Machine
Playing in one of the best pitching parks in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers are the top scoring team in baseball at 5.3 runs per game. However, don’t be fooled, the offensive talent is in place and right now the entire team is producing. If you are following the betting odds at places like GTBets, you know using the Dodgers and the OVER is a sound strategy for MLB picks.

Los Angeles is 22-11 OVER for the season and at Dodger Stadium of all places they're 15-4 OVER. MLB baseball handicappers and anyone putting together sports picks has to be astonished as Dodger Blue is scoring an incredible 5.7 RPG at Chavez Ravine and no, the weather patterns have not changed; Don Mattingly just has a bunch of confident sluggers who are doing the job.

At some point L.A. will slow off this pace, but right now for totals they are performing like American Pharoah and running away from the competition and keeping first place in the NL West.

 

San Diego Oddly an Over Team
In the long history of the Padres, whether they played at Jack Murphy Stadium or Petco Park, runs were usually in short supply. Whether it was parks, pitchers, lack of offense or the thick SoCal air, a continuing flashing scoreboard has been a rare sight.

However this year San Diego is 24-13 OVER, with a vastly improved offense (though it has been shutout six times), and amazingly a staff surrendering 4.7 RPG. Padres’ pitchers are only 13th in the NL with mostly the same cast of character returning. It seems almost impossible the San Diego staff in the same discussion as Colorado, yet they are and Over’s will keep mounting until they improve.

 

Diamondbacks and Rockies Over Teams, No Surprise
Arizona and Colorado both play in stadiums conducive to scoring. Both play in thinner air, one based on a desert climate and the other on altitude, but the results are generally the same.

The D-Backs are 18-14 thanks to a more potent than presumed offense which is clicking along at 4.8 RPG. Naturally they are 13-7 OVER at Chase Field, led by Paul Goldschmidt, but he’s been a force driving in runs because Ender Inciarte and A. J. Pollack are frequently on base when he’s hitting. Toss in a bullpen that is 14th in the league in OPS and late totals covers are available with the Snakes.

It’s not like finding out about Bruce Jenner’s true preferences that Coors Field is a hitter’s yard, it has been that way since it opened. Colorado is 17-14 OVER this season, but not because of its offense which is at less than four runs a night, rather a collection of pitchers being torched in Rockies uniforms for 5.5 RPG. In fact, Colorado is 6-6 at Coors for totals and the higher numbers have come being an underdog at 12-9 OVER. Take a wait and see attitude on the Rocks for totals and if the start to mash, jump on the Over.

 

San Francisco Where They Usually are for Totals
The Giants are 19-15 UNDER, which is what they do, pitch, play solid defense and win close games. The offense has really missed Pablo Sandoval but at least Hunter Pence is back which should elevate 3.4 RPG scoring average. AT&T Park is spacious between the alleys which are where fly balls go to die.

San Francisco is 13-7 UNDER at home and if this changes something other the norm has occurred.