If you are looking to beat the sportsbooks, the National League West might not be the division of choice. As many have found out, other than a few streaks good or bad, is hard to cash out with this group.
This is not to say to ignore these teams, as they all have their good and bad points when it comes to MLB picks, you just have to be judicious as a baseball handicapper. Here is look at each club with an accent on offense.
Dodgers – Los Angeles Home/Road Dichotomy the Story
This could hardly been any easier to understand and how to use for sports picks. The Los Angeles Dodgers score 5.0 runs game at home and by no strange coincidence are +9.1 units. When L.A. wears the road grays, they have a losing record and are off in the neighborhood of -7 units against the betting odds. It is no accident this happens because the scoring falls off to 4.1 RPG.
Like most bettors, few care how they can win as long as they do and this is what Don Mattingly has to figure is why the batting averages and home runs drop off in spite of playing in several more hitting friendly parks than Dodger Stadium.
Giants – June Will Be Better Indicator on San Francisco
The Giants stunk it up in April and smelled like roses in May to be a modestly profitable team. As per usual, it was San Francisco improving in all areas. Their offense really began to click up and down the batting order they either are or are among the best in batting average and OBP in the National League. This a true team effort with players like Nori Aoki, Joe Panik, Brandon Belt, Angel Pagan and Brandon Crawford at .290 or better batting averages and solid on-base percentage numbers. And don’t forget Buster Posey and Hunter Pence who can carry this club for a week.
With San Francisco being cold and hot the first two months, chances are they fall into a more normal pattern and we learn what this 2015 version is all about.
Padres – San Diego Offense is Maddening
If you follow the MLB odds and scores closely, a recent four-game stretch best summed up the Padres offense this season. In order, San Diego scored 2, 7, 0 and 7 runs. While this might not sound like a big deal, this epitomizes how the Padres have swung the bats the past six weeks. They have already hung all goose eggs in nine different games. A quick look at the stats addresses this inconsistency, ranking 13th in OBP while at the same time being second in the league with the most strikeouts.
No doubt the pitching has trended the same way in this up and down nature, but it would sure help if Matt Kemp and Will Middlebrooks started swing the bats like they were brought to San Diego to do. For the most part the Padres are a game by game coin flip.
Diamondbacks – Arizona Not Good or Bad Bets
I have to admit, I did not see Arizona hanging around .500 coming into June. This spring the starting and relief pitching looked non-competitive, which was an accurate assessment in conceding 4.6 RPG. What I and most others missed was the D-Backs have offense beyond All-Star Paul Goldschmidt. Besides Goldy, outfielders A.J. Pollock and Ender Inciarte have continually been on base with batting averages at or above .300. Since being recalled from the minors, a somewhat less chubby Yasmany Tomas has shown why he was signed by Arizona, hitting around .320 and spraying the ball foul pole to foul pole.
Rockies – Pitching Stinks but Colorado Offense on the Rise
Colorado finished last month 7-1 to at least have them with smelling distance of .500. The pitching was improved and facing Philadelphia in that period helped, however, the guys with the lumber have taken this team from 4.1 to almost 4.5 RPG and are climbing.
Troy Tulowitzki was the key member in the turnaround, as he finally followed the lead DJ LeMahieu and Nolan Arenado had set all season. If Carlos Gonzalez could get his head out of you know where (.225 BA), the Rockies can at least put on a show and we would see more 10.5 and 11 totals at Coors Field which are fun to ponder for wagering. In the bigger picture, unless the Colorado pitchers lower the runs allowed to 4.5 or 4.6, and chances are they will not, you bet the Rockies for or against with how the offense is performing.