MLB Picks: Discover Betting Value In Red Sox vs. Indians Opener

Swinging Johnson

Monday, April 4, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 4, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Opening Day in Cleveland will find the Boston Red Sox looking for redemption after a miserable 2015 campaign. Let's review the MLB odds and back the sharp side in this AL East clash.

Multimillion Dollar Questions
The Boston Red Sox have made some highly questionable signings recently and all that money tied up in four players cost former GM Ben Cherington his job. The Not So Fab Four includes Pablo Sandoval, Hanley Ramirez, Rusney Castillo and pitcher Rick Porcello. Those four players alone will cost the Sox roughly $65 million this season and here's what they have:

- A third baseman in Sandoval who lost his starting job to young Travis Shaw because his belly was even bigger than his $19 million paycheck.

- A first baseman who, until this season, never played the position before but was such an unmitigated disaster in his new position last year, left field, that this was the only place to park his $22 million hiney.

- The Sox won the Cuban sweepstakes two years ago when they signed Rusney Castillo to a seven-year $72.5 contract but so far it seems they overpaid by about $70 million. Castillo is slated to be a fifth outfielder because his performance has dictated as much.

- It's not often that your No. 4 starter earns north of $20 million but that is exactly what Boston has in Rick Porcello. The former Detroit Tiger was punished by opposing batters last season and his spring training performances did nothing to assuage those concerns.

That is quite a bit of expensive dead weight hanging on your Opening Day roster but there are bright spots on this team to be sure. The Red Sox have two of the most dynamic young outfielders in Mookie Betts and Jackie Bradley Jr. patrolling the outfield along with last year's only Boston All-Star representative Brock Holt. Boston's backstops are two of the brightest young prospects in the game today with Blake Swihart and Christian Vazquez (15 day DL) on the roster. There is also former AL MVP second baseman Dustin Pedroia in tandem with perhaps the brightest rising star at shortstop in Xander Bogaerts.

As far as offseason signings the Sox went all-in with pitching when they signed superstar starter David Price and made another free agent splash when they signed the most feared closer in the game, Craig Kimbrel, to be their fireman this season.


Betting Analysis
The 2014 AL CY Young Award winner Corey Kluber will get the nod for the Indians this afternoon while David Price will be chuckin' for the BoSox. After a dazzling '14 Kluber was far more mortal in 2015 with a 9-16 record and a 3.45 ERA in 32 starts. He registered a 6-8 mark at Progressive Field last season and has faced the Red Sox a total of seven times (six starts) and recorded a 1-2 mark with a 4.91 ERA.

On the flipside, David Price has never lost in Cleveland and has owned the Indians throughout his career delivering a 9-2 record with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.158. If you were prescient enough to bet Price in your MLB picks every time he faced Cleveland, his teams have compiled a 10-3 record and have returned +4.9 units to their backers.

Despite all the expensive fat on this roster there are plenty of reasons to like the Boston Red Sox this season. One of the biggest reasons is of course David Price and he will be on the bump in this one. Let's also not forget that this Cleveland offense is not going to set the world on fire. Last season the Tribe was 11th in the league in hitting with a .256 batting average, 18th in runs scored (669) and 22nd in homers with only 141 on their third place season.

As we review the MLB odds we will side with the better pitcher as well as the better offense despite the hostile venue.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2992924, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,19], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick:  Boston -105
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline

comment here