MLB Picks: Dickey & Blue Jays vs. Orioles

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, April 23, 2013 1:28 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 23, 2013 1:28 PM GMT

The Toronto Blue Jays have been known to bounce back after a loss recently, as they prepare to play the middle game of a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday night. Find out what MLB betting value we have uncovered.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this American League East matchup, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Inconsistent 

Toronto was unable to win back-to-back games for the first time since April 12-13, as it suffered a 2-1 series-opening setback to the Baltimore Orioles as +100 road underdogs, while going UNDER the posted total of 8.5. 

The Blue Jays are 2-5 against division opponents in the early going of the 2013 MLB campaign, with the OVER going 4-3 in that situation. 

Solid homestand 

Baltimore has won five of seven on its current nine-game homestand, as it sits two games behind the Boston Red Sox in the division standings, while it possesses a +11 run differential through 19 games. 

The Orioles are 5-1 at home with a money line between +125 and -125, but there’s been no clear edge in terms of the betting total in those six contests (2-2 Over/Under). 

Dickey

Blue Jays starting pitcher R.A. Dickey (2-2, 4.30 ERA) has won back-to-back starts, including a 3-1 home victory over the Chicago White Sox last time out, as he allowed two hits over six shutout frames. 

The right-hander exited that affair throwing just 64 pitches due to tightness in his upper back and neck, which caused him to play catch on the side this week instead of doing his usual bullpen session. 

In seven career games (four starts) versus the Orioles, Dickey has compiled a 2-2 record and 2.97 ERA, including a 5-0 complete game shutout at this ballpark on June 18 of last year, as he allowed just a single hit and struck out 13 batters. 

Gonzalez 

Orioles starting pitcher Miguel Gonzalez (1-1, 4.00 ERA) has watched the club alternated wins and losses over his first three efforts, as he didn’t earn a decision in a 10-6 home victory over the Tampa Bay Rays last time out—surrendering five runs (four earned) and eight hits over 5.2 frames.

In three lifetime appearances (two starts) versus the Blue Jays, Gonzalez is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA, as he’s issued just a single walk and struck out 10 batters in 16.2 innings of work.

[gameodds]3/225483/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Blue Jays in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Tuesday, as they’ve gone 11-4 in their last 15 games following a loss, while the Orioles are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win. 

Baltimore is a team that relies heavily on the middle of its order hitting the ball out of the ballpark, but not a single player on its current roster has hit a round tripper against Dickey. 

MLB Pick:  Toronto Blue Jays First 5 Innings -115 at 5Dimes

Also take a look at my MLB Picks: Diamondbooks vs. Giants article for another free play.

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