Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this National League West matchup at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.
Playing close games
Nine of Arizona’s last 10 games have been decided by three or fewer runs, including a 5-4 setback to San Francisco as +109 road underdogs Monday night, while going OVER the total for the first time in seven contests.
The Diamondbacks are 8-4 against right-handed starters this season, with the UNDER going 7-5 in that situation.
Streaking on the Shores of McCovey Cove
Dating back to last season, San Francisco has won 17 of its last 21 home games, including the last eight, which has placed the club just a game behind the Colorado Rockies in the divisional standings.
The Giants are 36-23 as home favorites of -125 to -150 the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 28-27-4 in those 59 opportunities.
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Patrick Corbin (2-0, 1.42 ERA) has led the club to victory in all three of his starts during the 2013 campaign, but he failed to earned a decision in a 6-2 road win over the New York Yankees last time out, as he allowed just a single run and two hits over seven dominating innings.
The left-hander has compiled a 2-1 record and 5.09 ERA in four career efforts versus the Giants, including a 0-1 mark and 11.25 ERA in two outings at this ballpark.
Giants starting pitcher Matt Cain (0-2, 7.15 ERA) has watched his team get outscored by a 29-8 combined margin in losing his first four starts of the season, including a 7-2 road loss to the Milwaukee Brewers last time out.
The right-hander hasn’t been known to be a fast starter, as he’s gone 8-11 with a 3.62 ERA in 37 April starts—his only losing month in which he’s made four or more regular season appearances.
In 27 games versus the Diamondbacks, Cain has tallied a solid 13-6 record and 3.34 ERA, including a 3-0 mark and 2.63 ERA in four outings in 2012.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Giants as one of their MLB picks Tuesday night, as they’ve gone 26-12 in Cain’s last 38 starts versus divisional foes, while the Diamondbacks are 17-28 in their last 45 games as road underdogs of +125 to +150.
It’s also important to note that the home team is 17-4 in umpire John Tumpane’s last 21 games behind home plate, including a perfect 7-0 mark dating back to the start of the 2012 season.
MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants -130 at Pinnacle