As of Sunday morning LA and Josh Beckett were favored by -160 over Arizona and Bronson Arroyo, with a total of 7.5 runs.
Dodgers starter Dan Haren allowed three runs in 6 1/3 innings and bopped a three-run double to lead LA to a 6-4 victory. The Dodgers won as -130 favorites on Saturday's MLB betting line, and covered on the run line at a price of +160.
Saturday's game also, to our delight, played 'over' its total of 7.5 runs during LA's four-run fourth inning.
The Dodgers are now 10-3 against Arizona this year, 27-30 against everyone else.
Beckett (4-3, 2.35) is six-for-12 on quality starts this season, and three for his last four. Most recently he held the Reds scoreless on two hits through six innings, and over his last four starts, including that no-hitter against Philly on May 25, he's allowed just four runs through 26 innings.
On the season Beckett has given up just 53 hits in 72 2/3 innings, walked 24 and whiffed 70. Somehow, LA is only 5-7 in Beckett's starts, while the totals have leaned toward the 'unders' by a 7-5 margin.
Since the start of last season Beckett has started three times against the D'Backs, allowing four runs and 16 hits in 19 1/3 innings; the Dodgers lost two of those three games.
Arroyo (6-4, 4.22) is six-for-13 on quality starts, but only one for his last three. Two weeks ago he gave up five runs in seven innings against Cincy, and he followed that up by giving up four runs in 6 1/3 innings against Colorado. But last time out he threw seven innings against Houston, allowing just one run in a 4-1 Arizona victory.
For the season Arroyo has allowed more hits, 87, than innings pitched, 81, walked 18 and struck out 46. The Diamondbacks are 7-6 in Arroyo's starts, with the totals leaning toward the 'unders' 7-5.
Pitching for Cincinnati last year Arroyo started once against the Dodgers, allowing three runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 4-1 Reds loss.
Free Pick for Sunday
The first two games of this series have gone 'over' on the totals, but Sundays are often a day of rest for many regulars, and both teams are a little banged up. So we'll go with the 'under' 7.5 runs, at the -110 offered at Just Bet, for our free MLB pick on Sunday's game.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Game 2
By: Ron Patrick
As of early Saturday morning LA and Dan Haren were favored by around -145 over Arizona and Josh Collmenter, with a total of 7.5 runs.
The Dodgers got a quality seven innings from Clay Kershaw, then bit their lips as the bullpen tried to give the game away, but failed, in a 4-3 LA victory.
The Blue Crew won as -200 favorites, but blew the run-line cover when Kenley Jansen gave up a run in the top of the ninth.
That last run, though, scored by Arizona on a one-out, ninth-inning Aaron Hill single, pushed the game 'over' its total of 6.5 runs, much to our delight.
This is a rematch of a 5-3 Arizona victory of one month ago. The D'Backs won that game as +105 home dogs, and the 'under' nine runs cashed.
Haren (6-4, 3.49), by our strict standards, is six-for-13 on quality starts this season, but 0 for his last three. Monday he only gave up two runs but only pitched 5 1/3 innings, and over his last three starts he's allowed nine ER in 17 1/3 innings.
For the season Haren has given up 86 hits, including 11 homers, in 80 innings, walked just 14 and struck out 54. LA is 7-6 in Haren's starts, with the totals going 7-6.
Haren has already started three times against his former team this year, allowing nine ER and 27 hits in 19 innings; LA won two of those games.
Collmenter (4-3, 3.65) is four-for-11 on quality starts, but three for his last four. Monday night against Houston he gave up three ER in seven innings, and over his last four starts he's allowed nine ER through 27 innings.
On the season Collmenter has given up 69 hits in 74 innings, walked 17 and struck out 45. Arizona is 7-4 in Collmenter's starts, with the totals splitting 5-5.
Collmenter has already started twice against the Dodgers this year, allowing seven runs and nine hits in 11 1/3 innings; the D'Backs split those two games.
Free Pick for Saturday
We picked a winner Friday with the 'over,' and that came with Kershaw starting for LA, and the teams combining to strand 23 runners on base. Also, the Dodgers got Hanley Ramirez back, after he had missed a couple games with a sore shoulder. So we'll go with the 'over' again, 7.5 runs for our free MLB pick at the +114 offered at Pinnacle.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Game 1
By: Ron Patrick
In the early betting on Friday's series opener (10:10 pm ET) LA and Clay Kershaw were chalked at around -210 over Arizona and Chase Anderson, with a total of 6.5 runs. The Dodgers could also be gotten at around +110 on the run line.
Los Angeles just split four games with Cincinnati, losing Thursday 4-1. The Dodgers are just 1-2-1 in their last four series, and have lost 9 of their last 15 games. Arizona, meanwhile, just dropped three of four games to Houston, losing Thursday 5-4 in 10 innings. But after that terrible start to this season the Diamondbacks have been better as of late, winning four of their last six series and six of their last 10 games.
Big picture, LA, at 35-33, sits in second place in the NL West, 8.5 games behind division-leading San Francisco, while Arizona, at 29-40, is in last place, 15 games out. The Dodgers have taken 8 of 11 games from the D'Backs so far this season, but Arizona won the most recent meeting, taking two of three games in Phoenix a month ago.
Kershaw (5-2, 3.17), by our accounting, is seven-for-eight on quality starts this year. Last time out, he held the Rockies to one run through five innings of that 6-1 rain-shortened Dodgers victory, and over his last four starts he's given up six runs through 26 innings, with 36 strikeouts. On the season Kershaw has allowed 43 hits in 48 1/3 innings, walked just seven while whiffing 64.
LA is 5-3 in Kershaw's starts, with the totals splitting 4-4. Kershaw has had just one bad outing this year; as it happens, it came against these Diamondbacks one month ago, in which he got bombed for seven runs in less than two innings of an 18-7 Los Angeles loss. However, in his previous four starts against Arizona, Kershaw had allowed just six ER through 28 innings.
Anderson (5-0, 3.14) is two-for-five on quality starts, but both those came in his last two outings. Ten days ago, he held Colorado to one run through six innings, and Sunday he held Atlanta to two runs through seven innings. On the season, Anderson has allowed 26 hits in 28 2/3 innings, walked seven and struck out 22.
Arizona, with some great run support, is a perfect 5-0 in Anderson's starts, with the totals going 3-2. Anderson started against Kershaw in that Arizona blow-out back on May 17, giving up five runs in 5 1/3 innings. He only gave up two runs through the first five innings, but got in trouble in the sixth, and got no help from the bullpen after he left. In the match-up of the bullpens in this series, Arizona ranks 14th with a 3.58 ERA while going 19/27 on save opportunities, while LA ranks 18th in ERA at 3.72 while going 19/24 on save opps.
At the Bat
Arizona ranks 23rd in team OBP at .309, while averaging 4.1 runs per game. That OBP improves to .323 against left-handed pitching. LA ranks 12th in OBP at .324, while averaging 4.2 RPG. That OBP improves to .336 against right-handed pitching. The Dodgers also lead the Majors in stolen bases with 75.
D'Backs-Dodgers Betting Trends
LA is only 13-19 at home this season, while Arizona, which is 11 games under .500 overall, is 17-16 on the road.The Diamondbacks have played eight 'unders' in their last 12 games.The Dodgers have played eight 'unders' in their last nine games. The totals have trended 20-10 toward the 'overs' in games played at Dodger Stadium this season.
Dodgers SS Hanley Ramirez has missed recent action with a sore shoulder, and his status for this series is uncertain. LA is also without Carl Crawford, AJ Ellis and Juan Uribe, who are all on the DL with various ailments, although Ellis could return this weekend. Over in the other dugout, Arizona took a hit a couple weeks ago when AJ Pollack, who had been hot at the lead-off spot, got HPB on the hand, and had to go on the DL.
Free Pick for Friday
You'd think that thrashing Kershaw took at the bats of Arizona a month ago was an aberration, so our lean on the side would be toward LA. But that price is a put-off. So instead, we'll look toward the total for our free MLB pick on Friday's game, and go with the 'over' 6.5 runs, at the +106 offered at Pinnacle.