MLB Picks - Detroit Motors Past Kansas City in Series Opener

Detroit Tigers

Doug Upstone

Monday, May 29, 2017 3:56 PM GMT

Monday, May. 29, 2017 3:56 PM GMT

On this Memorial Day, we give thanks to all our fallen heroes and those that have served our country around the world in some capacity to preserve Democracy which matters to us all.

Besides this, ESPN has a baseball tripleheader today and the nightcap is a AL Central conflict between two underachievers who hold down the bottom two spots in the division. Either Detroit or Kansas City can start to make a move this week and it begins tonight at 7:15 Eastern.

For MLB picks, let's see if I can make my move having nailed four of five.

 

Pitching Matchup - Norris vs. Hammel

Daniel Norris (2-3, 4.38 ERA) had his most effective outing in three weeks in beating Houston the last time out 6-3, pitching into the seventh inning and allowing just four hits and one earned run. Norris continues to work behind in counts, which is why he's had a least two walks in each start. Having to then throw strikes, the other teams are batting .288 against him. To this point of the season the 24-year has been more effective on the road with a 3.62 ERA, with Detroit winning three of five times. Norris is 0-1 with a 3.47 ERA in four career starts against Kansas City.

It has been a disastrous start for Jason Hammel (1-6, 5.98) in K.C. coming over as free agent. Royals coaches have worked with the right-hander on his delivery and release point as he's surrendered a .313 batting average this season compared to .267 for his career. In the last few years Hammel has been known for strong first halves, then fading. He's had no consistent downward movement on pitches to RH batters, who are lighting him up for .372 average. And he's struggled against Detroit with a 7.98 ERA (2-2) in nine appearances (six starts).

 

Faltering Offenses Provide No Relief

Outside of reaching six runs in back to back games at Houston, the Detroit offense has been lethargic and only tallied 13 runs in seven recent other efforts and is in 2-7 in the process. Traditional stalwarts Miguel Cabrera, Ian Kinsler and Victor Martinez and all hitting under .260 and collectively have fewer home runs than Mike Trout (13 vs. 16).

Kansas City is not exactly scoring runs in bunches being last in baseball at 3.4 runs per contest. However, they have shown a bit of a pulse in scoring 4.5 RPG in their last 10 outings. The margin of error for both teams is slim and unless each offenses perks up, their current position in the standings might be their ultimate resting place.

 Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

For  MLB odds, Kansas City was released as an under -110 favorite by sportsbooks and the latest look has each team as the smallest of faves, going back and forth, with the total at 9. This is the first meeting of the year between these rivals and the Royals have taken 12 of 20 at home, with the OVER having the same exact record. The domineering K.C. bullpen is a thing of the past, ranked 12th in ERA in the AL and the Tigers is even worse at 14th.

 

The Winner Is...

Even after taking series at Cleveland, Kansas City is 6-15 in division play and coming off a game the Royals scored one or fewer runs, they are 21-41. With Norris and Detroit 14-6 as a road combo, the Tigers get the call.

Free MLB Play: Detroit -104Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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