MLB Picks: Daily Pitching Report for Monday

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 1, 2013 1:45 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds surrounding five pitchers that will take the mound on the first day of July. 


Jordan Zimmerman has dominated opponents at Nationals Park this season, which makes him one of the more attractive starting pitchers to back on Monday with our MLB picks.

Jordan Zimmerman (13-3 Team W/L, +967)

The Washington Nationals are -178 to -190 home favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers—mainly due to Zimmerman’s success at Nationals Park during the 2013 campaign. 

The right-hander is 8-0 with a 1.09 ERA in nine home starts, as he’s surrendered just one home run in 66 innings.

[gameodds]3/237840/?r3=43-999997-192/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Jose Fernandez (8-7, +405) 

The Miami Marlins have moved up to -137 home favorites from an opening number of -130, with Fernandez entering with a 2-0 record and 1.76 ERA in seven outings at Marlins Park. 

He has held opposing hitters to a .189 opposing batting average at home, as he prepares to face the San Diego Padres for the first time in his career.

[gameodds]3/237841/?r3=43-999997-192/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Bronson Arroyo (9-7, +200) 

The Cincinnati Reds might be a bit overvalued as -170 home MLB odds favorites in their series opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but they own a major advantage in terms of the starting pitching matchup. 

Arroyo is 5-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 10 home starts, while the club has won 16 of his last 21 starts at the Great American Ball Park. 

[gameodds]3/237842/?r3=43-999997-192/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Andy Pettitte (6-7, -325) 

It’s a bit surprising that the New York Yankees are slight road favorites against the Minnesota Twins, considering they’ve lost five games in a row, which includes a 4-2 setback to the Baltimore Orioles as +115 road underdogs on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. 

Pettitte is the main reason for the current betting line, as he’s gone 12-5 with a 3.32 ERA in 22 career starts versus the Twins, including a 2-0 mark and 1.29 ERA in two outings at Target Field.

[gameodds]3/237844/?r3=43-999997-192/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

R.A. Dickey (8-9, -304) 

Dickey enters with a 7-8 record and 4.72 ERA in 17 starts, which is clearly disappointing after finishing with a 2.73 ERA with the New York Mets in 2012. 

The right-hander has gone 4-2 with a 4.00 ERA in 14 career games (seven starts) versus the Tigers.

[gameodds]3/237839/?r3=43-999997-192/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]