MLB Picks: Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Odds Preview

Joe Freda

Wednesday, August 7, 2013 1:27 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 7, 2013 1:27 PM UTC

Wednesday’s game has two southpaws squaring off, with Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels opposing Chicago’s Travis Wood.

The Philadelphia Phillies ended a five-game losing streak with Tuesday’s 9-8 home victory at minus 115 MLB odds over the Chicago Cubs. 

Phillies, Utley hold off Cubs

Phillies second baseman Chase Utley drilled an RBI-triple in Tuesday’s win, finishing with a 3-for-4 night. Philadelphia’s Michael Young poked a pair of doubles, while mates Darin Ruf and Carlos Ruiz homered.

Chicago jumped out to a 4-1 lead in the second inning, with Donnie Murphy cracking a three-run long ball. The Cubs were edged out in hits, 13-12, while the slugfest’s combined 17 runs soared ‘Over’ the ‘total’ of eight by the third frame.

Read today's Daily Pitching Report first for a breakdown of the day's pitching matchups.

Hamels outdueled at home

Hamels (4-13, 3.87 ERA) picked up a no-decision in Thursday’s 2-1 defeat for Philadelphia to the San Francisco Giants, failing to collect as a 121 home favorite. The 29-year-old tossed eight frames of shutout ball, giving up seven hits en route to five strikeouts.

Phillies reliever Jonathan Papelbon logged a blown save, allowing both of San Francisco’s runs. Hamels went 1-for-2 at the plate, helping his own cause with the lineup’s sole RBI.

Wood shelled in short stint

Wood (7-8, 3.05 ERA) logged his second loss in three starts with Friday’s 6-2 setback for Chicago as a 114 home dog against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Arkansas native was lit up for five runs on seven hits, departing after 3 1/3 innings.

Chicago’s Cole Gillespie and Darwin Barney drove in one run each, uniting to bat 5-for-8. Gillespie poked two of his side’s five doubles, while mate Anthony Rizzo left six men on base in a 0-for-5 day.

Back the ‘Under’ in Philly

Bet365 opened Hamels as a 158 home favorite, with early wagers on Philadelphia lifting the premium to minus 164. The ‘total’ was first set at 7.5 (‘Under’ minus 120), with mixed MLB betting leaving the number unchanged.

I am adding the ‘Under’ in this duel as part of Wednesday’s sports picks, looking for the slugging in this set to drop from the opener’s high octane.

Hamels has seen the ‘Under’ cash at 5-0 in his home starts over the last two months. The three-time All-Star has held foes to eight earned runs over the span’s 37 IP.

Wood has held his own on the road, giving up a stingy 1.04 WHIP and .265 OBP through nine outings. The ‘Under’ has collected at a 6-3 clip in that stretch, while two of his last three affairs away from home saw no runs allowed.

The shift to southpaws on the hill in this spot compared to Tuesday’s righty starters should also tighten the contest up. Philadelphia has been held to a .222 BA against left-handed pitching at home, while Chicago has bat .226 on the road facing southpaw arms.

The ‘Under’ is 4-0 in Chicago’s last four spots facing a lefty starter, while going 9-2 in the team’s last 11 spots that came after allowing five or more runs. Umpire Jordan Baker has had ‘Under’ tickets collect at a 5-2 clip over his last seven called duels, including a start Wood made in June against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

For your MLB picks today, look for another ‘Under’ ticket to get the money here, adding to a 4-1 mark for the wager in Philadelphia’s last five matchups against a starter with below a 1.15 WHIP.


MLB Pick: Bet the Cubs/Phillies game to go UNDER 7.5 (-120) at Bet365

Looking for a breakdown on today's games? Read our Daily MLB Betting Lines & Odds Report!

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