MLB Picks: Cubs vs. Mets Betting Odds and Analysis

Jeff Grant

Friday, June 14, 2013 12:39 PM GMT

Shaun Marcum lands in a great situation to earn his first win of the 2013 season, as the New York Mets open up a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs Friday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League matchup at Citi Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Aiming for back-to-back wins

Chicago snapped a 12-game home losing streak to the Cincinnati Reds Thursday, as it captured a 6-5 win in 14 innings as +115 underdogs, while going OVER the total for the third time in four contests.

The Cubs haven’t won back-to-back games in June, which isn’t very surprising due to their 23-43 mark during the month since 2011.

Looking for some offense

New York has dropped eight of its last 10 games, including a 2-1 setback to the St. Louis Cardinals as +128 home underdogs Thursday afternoon, while going UNDER the total for a second consecutive affair.

The Mets are 29th in the majors in hitting .206 this month—ahead of only the Cubs (.203) in that particular category.

Jackson

Cubs starting pitcher Edwin Jackson (2-8, 5.76 ERA) snapped a personal three-game losing streak last time out, when he earned a 4-1 home victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing one run and four hits over seven innings.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 4.26 ERA in five road starts, with opposing hitters batting .222 against him.

In five career appearances versus the Cubs, Jackson has tallied a 1-2 record and 4.40 ERA, including a 3-2 home loss on May 17—surrendering three runs and seven hits over 6.2 innings of work.

Marcum

Mets starting pitcher Shaun Marcum (0-7, 4.96 ERA) dropped back-to-back efforts against the Miami Marlins, including a 2-1 home defeat in which he threw eight innings of one-run relief.

The right-hander is 0-4 with a 4.85 ERA in five home appearances (four starts), issuing three walks and striking out 31 batters in 29.2 combined frames.

In five career games versus the Cubs, Marcum has compiled a perfect 4-0 record and 2.90 ERA, with opposing hitters batting .217 against him.

[gameodds]3/236347/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mets as one of their MLB picks Friday, but don’t get too involved in this game, as I established them as a -126 home favorite.

Chicago can’t be trusted at this particular number—posting a 16-39 record as road underdogs of +100 to +125 the last two-plus seasons.

MLB Pick: New York Mets -128 at BET 365