MLB Picks: Cold-Hitting Royals & Mariners To Reward Under Bettors

Jay Pryce

Sunday, May 1, 2016 2:11 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 1, 2016 2:11 PM UTC

The Royals are hoping to avoid their worst losing streak in nearly three years as they wrap up a West Coast road swing against the Mariners on Sunday. Get your free pick with analysis here. 

Kansas City (12-11) – Ian Kennedy (2-2, 2.77 ERA)
The Royals’ current mini West Coast road trip is a disaster. Mired in a five-game skid, they dropped three in a row to the Angels with Seattle shutting them out in their last two. Kansas City, revered for their contact hitting and run-producing ways, are now scoreless in 26 innings straight, six away from the club record. Kansas City has not loss six in a row since 2013.

Manager Ned Yost taps Ian Kennedy to get them out of this mess. The nine-year veteran has faced Seattle just twice in his career. He is 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA. One of these outings was at Safeco Field last season, where the Mariners crushed Kennedy for five earned runs on eight hits in 4.2 innings pitched. His fourseam fastball generates a decent amount of flyballs, and Seattle has walloped the right-hander for four home runs in 9.2 innings total. 

Seattle’s current roster is batting.268 against Kennedy. New outfielder Nori Aoki sees him best, going six for 13 with three RBIs. The 2011 NL wins leader has fared well against the heart of the order though, holding Robinson Cano and Nelson Cruz to one hit total in 14 plate appearances.

The Under is 18-4-1 in K.C. contests this season with the team averaging 3.35 runs per game on 8.4 hits. Only the Phillies knock in fewer RBIs (3.12) than the Royals’ 3.13 per game.

Ned Yost’s men are 9-16 in their last 25 road games against teams scoring more runs then them on the year, returning 20 percent profit to bettors brave enough to fade the World Series champs.


Seattle Mariners (13-10) – Taijuan Walker (2-0, 1.44 ERA)
The Mariners are the hottest team in the American League. Going 11-4 in their last 15 games, they have outscored opponents by 2.13 runs per contest. Only the Cubs (3.33) and Mets (3.13) have managed a better differential in this span. A combination of strong hitting and great pitching has fueled the winning stretch. The staff has tossed three shutouts in its last five games.

Skipper Scott Servais’ men really play well behind today’s starter Taijuan Walker. Since last June, the Mariners are 17-6 in his outings, supporting the young right-hander with 5.5 runs per game. However, he has needed little propping up this season, Walker and the pen yielding three runs or fewer in each of his four starts. 

Walker has faced the Royals once in his young career back in 2013, earning a no-decision in a 5.0 inning effort where he allowed four earned runs on four hits. The current Royals roster is hitting .182 in a limited 13 plate appearances.

Seattle enters the final game of the series having homered in nine straight games. The lineup ranks sixth in the majors with 1.39 per contest, Cano leading the AL with eight longballs. Walker is hoping for 10 straight. When Seattle hits a homer in his starts, it is 21-10 overall.


Final Analysis
Walker is dealing right now, but we are not keen on laying Seattle at such a juicy price of -135 on MLB odds. Kennedy should put in a better effort against Seattle, holding his own against the team’s big hitters historically. Under 7.5 -115 is the MLB Pick on this game.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 7½ -115
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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