MLB Picks: CJ Wilson & Angels vs. Mariners

Jeff Grant

Friday, April 26, 2013 12:50 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League West matchup at Safeco Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.


The Los Angeles Angels have dropped seven of nine road games this season, but they land in a favorable situation to cover the run line for a third time away from Southern California against the Seattle Mariners Friday night.

In a hole 

Los Angeles dropped to 8-13 on the season and 6.5 games back of the Texas Rangers in the American League West standings after Thursday’s 6-0 setback to Seattle, while going UNDER the total for the first time in four contests. 

The Angels are second in the majors in batting .275 on the season, but their pitching staff has compiled a 4.96 ERA, which is 29th in the majors heading into the final weekend of April. 

Trying to put something together 

Seattle hasn’t won back-to-back games since opening the 2013 campaign with a pair of victories against the Oakland Athletics, which makes it very hard to back this club—even as a home underdog in this spot when looking over the MLB betting odds page. 

The Mariners are 15-19 as home underdogs of +125 to +150 the last two-plus seasons, while the UNDER is 21-12-1 in that situation.

It’s important to note that the club is 40-75 against Los Angeles dating back to 2007—the most losses for one MLB team against another in that span. 

Wilson

Angels starting pitcher C.J. Wilson (1-0, 4.13 ERA) has worked six innings in all four of his starts thus far, as he comes off a no decision effort in a 4-3 home win against the Detroit Tigers, surrendering three runs on five hits. 

The left-hander is 11-5 with a 3.88 ERA in 50 appearances (13 starts) versus the Mariners, including a 5-1 mark and 2.11 ERA in his last seven outings.  His 11 wins in this series are his most against any MLB team. 

Harang 

Mariners starting pitcher Aaron Harang (0-2, 10.24 ERA) has dropped his first two starts of the 2013 MLB season after being acquired from the Colorado Rockies at the end of Spring Training, including a 11-3 road loss to the Texas Rangers last time out. 

The right-hander has served up four home runs in 9.2 combined innings, which could be a major problem when facing Angels first baseman Albert Pujols, who is 23 for 73 (.315) with five home runs against him.

In three career efforts versus Los Angeles, Harang is 0-1 with a 4.30 ERA, as he’s allowed 21 hits in 14.2 combined frames.

[gameodds]3/225640/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to suggest that readers back the Angels on the run line as one of their MLB picks, as both of their wins away from Southern California have come by two or more runs, while they’ve captured seven of Wilson’s last eight starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. 

MLB Pick:  Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+113) at Pinnacle