MLB Picks: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Joe Catalano

Sunday, August 25, 2013 2:41 PM GMT

Can the Padres reverse their fortunes as a stack of road games awaits them after today?First pitch is set for 4:10 pm ET at Petco Park in San Diego, California and can be seen on MLB TV.

With the exception of a Will Venable home run yesterday, the Chicago Cubs made easy work of the San Diego Padres when these two bottom feeders met up Saturday night. 

Extreme Odds

With Andrew Cashner starting for the Pads (8-8, 3.74), MLB odds makers have went overboard in creating them as a -153 betting favorite and the total for the game is 7 runs.

Does Cashner Warrant This Type Of Respect?

While it’s true that Cashner isn’t on a team that will provide him a lot of runs, he an average pitcher at best. Lately he’s fared slightly better than average, allowing 22 runs in his last 43 innings. This covers 7 starts and Cashner hasn’t received a decision in his last 4 starts. Another issue with Cashner is his inability to go deep into ball games. This usually leaves the outcome to be decided by the San Diego bullpen and this can tire a bullpen out/

Will Venable

The Padres should possibly think about moving Venable to the number 3 spot because he’s been tearing the cover off of the ball lately. In his last 2 games, Venable is 6 for 8 with 3 runs, 2 HR and 4 RBI. Over a 10 game stretch, he’s 17 for 43 with 9 runs, 4 HR and 7 RBI.

Venable has the potential to be the 2nd coming of Andrew McCutchen and his consistency will be needed in this ball game. The Pads have other gamers like Jedd Gyorko and Chase Headley, but their level of consistency doesn’t compare with the leadoff hitter Venable.

Offensive Issues

The Cubs have offensive issues of their own. Much more was expected out of players like Starlin Castro (.237) and Anthony Rizzo (.230, 20 HR, 69 RBI). Rizzo was given a big contract and although he provides some pop, he has trouble getting on base and being a consistent overall baseball player.

Lately the offensive production has been coming from untested players such as Donnie Murphy, Junior Lake, and Dioner Navarro. Currently, Lake is on a 7 game hitting streak and Navarro is on a modest 5 game hitting streak. The Cubs will need Lake’s production as he’s 13 for 30 in those 7 games with 5 runs and 6 doubles.

The Cubs seem to like to get away from the pressure of the home crowd at Wrigley Field as they’re a better road team (30-33) than home team (25-41).

These are two evenly matched teams and taking the Cubs off of a solid win and as a moderate underdog seems to be a solid play here.

Trends

Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road underdog

Cubs are 4-1 in Rusin’s last 5 road starts

Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 games as a favorite

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams

[gameodds]3/241976/?r-1=349/us[/gameodds]

Outcome

The trends go both ways in this game. I like Chicago as the road dog for my MLB picks in this spot, coming off of a convincing performance from Jeff Samardzija on Saturday. Chicago is a fairly good road team considering  their record. San Diego is lacking in a collective team effort.

Free Pick - Chicago Cubs +143 at Bet 365